认清价格基本面 多措并举力促保供稳价——2019年CPI运行分析及2020年趋势预判  

Recognize the fundamentals of prices——Analysis of CPI operation in 2019 and prediction of trend in 2020

作　　者：王双进(文/翻译)[1] 党莉莉 

机构地区：[1]天津商业大学 [2]天津商业大学会计学院

出　　处：《价格理论与实践》2020年第1期18-20,106,共4页Price:Theory & Practice

基　　金：天津市教委人文社科重大项目(2019JWZD48)阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：2019年物价总体运行平稳,实现了年度预期目标。本文首先从4个不同角度分析了2019年CPI运行情况和主要特点;然后,从粮食价格运行、生猪生产、PPI走势、国际市场等对CPI运行有较大影响的几个因素出发,预判2020年CPI基本走势。在此基础上,结合"六稳"工作,从适当调整CPI预期目标、坚持逆周期调节和结构性改革相结合、发挥消费和投资的重要作用、加强市场监测预警等方面,提出了有针对性的政策建议。In 2019,the overall price operation was stable and the annual target was achieved.This article first analyzes the CPI operation situation and main features in 2019 from four different perspectives;then,based on several factors that have a greater impact on CPI operation,such as food price operation,hog production,PPI trends,and international markets,we predict the 2020 The basic trend of annual CPI.On this basis,combined with the"six stability"work,from the perspective of appropriately adjusting the expected target of CPI,adhering to the combination of reverse cycle adjustment and structural reform,playing an important role in consumption and investment,and strengthening market monitoring and early warning,we have put forward targeted Policy recommendations.

关 键 词：CPI运行 趋势预判 价格总水平 

分 类 号：F72[经济管理—产业经济]