Analysis of Design Rainstorm Hydrograph Based on Asymmetrical Extreme Value Copula  

作　　者：Zishen CHEN Lingling ZHAO Xing YANG 

机构地区：[1]Xinhua College of Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou 510520,China [2]School of Geography and Planning,Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou 510275,China [3]Guangzhou Institute of Geography,Guangzhou 510070,China [4]School of Earth and Environment,Anhui University of Science&Technology,Huainan 232000,China

出　　处：《Meteorological and Environmental Research》2020年第3期38-43,共6页气象与环境研究（英文版）

基　　金：Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(41771044;41371498)。

摘　　要：In this paper,the maximum 1-hour rainfall( rain peak),the maximum 6-hour rainfall and the maximum 24-hour rainfall in the Caojiang River basin from 1967 to 2013 were taken as samples. The typical typhoon rainstorm hydrograph of joint distribution of rainfall in three periods was constructed based on the asymmetric Archimedean Gumbel-Hougaard extreme value Copula. The main conclusions were as follows:( 1) the design rainstorm value in the Caojiang River basin calculated by using the joint distribution of rainfall in three periods was larger than the design rainstorm value of the joint distribution in two periods and that of a single period. The design rainstorm process hydrograph amplified at the same frequency had the optimal overall effect,which provided a new idea and method for studying the design rainfall patterns.( 2) According to the maximum 24-hour rainfall,the risk rate of the multi-peak rainstorm process that the main peak was in the back was the highest,and the constructed typical design rainstorm process hydrograph was the most representative.( 3) " OR" joint return period of rainfall combination in three periods as the design criteria of a watershed was applicable to responding to the risk of rainfall and flood in this watershed.

关 键 词：Asymmetrical extreme value Copula Design rainstorm hydrograph "OR"return period Rainfall patterns 

分 类 号：P426.62[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] P412