“一带一路”倡议下电力互联市场的投资风险研究  

An investment risk analysis of the cross-border power interconnection market in countries along the Belt and Road

作　　者：顾欣[1] 张玮强 金杰 刘贞瑶 GU Xin;ZHANG Wei-qiang;JIN Jie;LIU Zhen-yao

机构地区：[1]东南大学经济管理学院,江苏南京211189 [2]国网江苏省电力有限公司,江苏南京211102

出　　处：《东南大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2020年第3期82-89,153,共9页Journal of Southeast University(Philosophy and Social Science)

基　　金：国家电网有限公司总部科技项目“一带一路”背景下我国跨境电力贸易格局与建设时序研究;国家自然科学基金面上项目“中国与“一带一路”沿线国家跨境电力贸易的潜力评估、效应模拟与机制设计研究”(71873029)阶段性成果。

摘　　要：自"一带一路"倡议提出以来,区域的跨境互联互通成为中国加强与沿线国家合作推进的重点。电力项目的投资和施工建设是"一带一路"区域基础设施建设的先行者,也是全球能源互联理念的重要实践体现。由于"一带一路"沿线国家间在经济发展水平、基础建设和资源禀赋等方面存在显著差异,构建电力互联投资市场面临多维度风险。通过从政治、经济和技术三个维度建成投资风险评估模型,以主成分分析法确定指标权重,计算得出中国对"一带一路"沿线国家的电力投资风险。研究结果可以为中国政府和企业对"一带一路"沿线国家的投资策略提供相应参考。Since the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)was put forward,regional interconnection has become the focus of China s cooperation with the BRI countries.The power interconnection and investment is not only the forerunner of the infrastructure construction in the“Belt and Road”region,but also an important practice of the global energy interconnection concept.The countries along the“Belt and Road”vary in economy,infrastructure and resources,which poses challenges to the construction of the power interconnection investment market.This paper first establishes an investment risk assessment model from the three dimensions of politics,economy and technology,then determines the index weight by the principal component analysis method and finally evaluates the investment risk of China to countries along the“Belt and Road”.This research can be helpful for the Chinese government and the enterprises with their investment in the countries along the“Belt and Road”.

关 键 词：“一带一路”倡议 电力互联互通 投资风险评估 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]