海南岛人工增雨作业潜力的评估研究  

Potential Evaluation of Artificial Precipitation Enhancement in Hainan Island

作　　者：敖杰 邢峰华 李光伟 毛志远 Ao Jie;Xing Fenghua;Li Guangwei;Mao Zhiyuan(Weather Modification Center of Hainan Province, Key Laboratory of South China Sea Meteorological Disaster Preventionand Mitigation of Hainan Province, Haikou 570203, China)

机构地区：[1]海南省人工影响天气中心,海南省南海气象防灾减灾重点实验室,海南海口570203

出　　处：《海南大学学报（自然科学版）》2020年第2期171-178,共8页Natural Science Journal of Hainan University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(41865009);海南省气象局科技创新项目(HN2013MS13)。

摘　　要：利用中国气象局人工影响天气中心GRAPES-CAMS模式预报产品结合探空资料,使用逐步判断法对人工增雨潜力进行分级预报,评估海南岛人工增雨作业潜力分布.通过2个实例分析表明,该方法可以较为准确地评估海南岛人工增雨潜力,从而帮助作业指挥人员确定该区域的可播性,科学指导市县开展人工增雨作业,提高人工增雨作业的针对性.In the report,the mesoscale model GRAPES-CAMS,which was developed by Weather Modification Center of China Meteorological Administration,together with sounding data,were used for the classification forecast of the potential of precipitation enhancement in Hainan Island.The evaluation results of two cases suggested that the method is accurate,and will be helpful for ascertaining the areas potential of precipitation enhancement and raise the pertinence for commander.

关 键 词：GRAPES-CAMS模式 增雨潜力 评估研究 

分 类 号：P426[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]