基于NTI核安全指数的全球核安全态势分析  

An Analysis of the Global Nuclear Security Posture Based on the NTI’s Nuclear Safety Index

作　　者：侯娜[1] 车丽娟 Hou Na;Che Lijuan(Institute of Defense Economics and Management,Central University of Finance and Economics)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学国防经济与管理研究院

出　　处：《和平与发展》2020年第3期111-131,136,共22页Peace and Development

基　　金：北京高校高精尖学科“战略经济与军民融合”交叉学科(GJJ2019163)支持项目;中央财经大学双一流和特色发展引导学科专项(022959918005)的资助。

摘　　要：核安全是国家安全的重要组成部分,基于2012—2018年消减核威胁倡议组织(NTI)发布的核安全指数对全球核安全走势与我国核安全状况进行系统分析,旨在全面把握核安全形势,有效维护核安全。总体来看,一方面各国通过改善核材料和核设施的保护措施等工作,减少了核材料被盗窃现象,提高了核材料运输过程中的安全性、响应能力以及现场网络安全等,而另一方面全球核安全工作依然存在诸多问题,网络安全虽然有所改善但仍不足以应对不断扩大和迅速演变的网络威胁,风险环境的恶化严重制约着核安全工作的进展。本文通过详细分析核安全指数各个指标的全球变化态势与具体现实情况,提出了维护核安全的相关对策与建议。As nuclear safety is an important part of national nuclear security,this paper is intended to make a systematic analysis of the development trend of global nuclear security and the reality of China’s nuclear safety based on the nuclear safety index issued by the Nuclear Threat Initiative(NTI)from 2012 to 2018 to fully grasp the nuclear security situation and effectively protect nuclear security.On the whole,countries of the world have much reduced the chances of nuclear material theft as well as improved the safety of nuclear materials in transportation,responsive capacities and field network security through improving the protection of nuclear materials and nuclear facilities on the one hand,and on the other hand,multiple problems still exist in global nuclear safety work;although network security has been improved,it is not enough to meet the continuously expanding and rapidly evolving network threats;and the deterioration of risk environment seriously restricted the advance of nuclear safety work.In addition,this paper has summarized relevant policy recommendations for protecting nuclear security through meticulously analyzing various indicators of the nuclear safety index in the changing global situation and reality.

关 键 词：NTI 核安全指数 核安全 核材料盗窃排名 核安全观 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]