高速公路冰雪天气应急能力后评估关键技术研究——以江苏省为例  

Key Technology Research for Expressway Post-emergency Capacity Assessment in Snow&Ice Conditions:Taking Jiangsu Province for Example

作　　者：熊琴 解玉宾 XIONG Qin;XIE Yubin(JSTI Co.,Ltd.Nanjing 211110)

机构地区：[1]苏交科集团股份有限公司,南京211110 [2]江苏省交通运输安全与应急科技研究中心,南京211110

出　　处：《工业安全与环保》2020年第7期37-41,共5页Industrial Safety and Environmental Protection

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划(1501002);交通运输部科技计划(2015318J43320);江苏省交通运输科技项目(2018Z01)。

摘　　要：为有效评估高速公路路网应对冰雪天气的应急能力,在应急管理工作调研的基础上,结合改进型层次分析法和模糊综合评估,建立了高速公路冰雪天气应急能力综合评估模型。模型指标体系包含3个一级指标、10个二级指标和32个三级指标,通过改进传统层次分析法的判断矩阵构建方式,引用模糊三角函数确定指标权重,有效降低了主观因素对多指标赋权的影响,并将模型应用至江苏省高速公路冰雪天气应急能力后评估分析中。实例分析结果表明,综合评估模型得出江苏省高速公路冰雪天气应急能力"良好",评估应用效果较佳,为冰雪天气条件下的高速公路应急能力后评估提供了理论研究基础。In order to effectively evaluate the emergency capacity of the expressway network response to snow&ice weather,a comprehensive evaluation model is established,which is on the basis of emergency investigation,improved analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.The model indicator system contains three first level indicators,ten second level indicators and thirty-two third level indicators.By improving the judgment matrix construction method of traditional analytic hierarchy process and using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation determine the index weight,the influence of subjective factors on the multi-index weighting is effectively reduced.The model is applied in the post-emergency assessment and analysis of snow&ice weather emergency capability of expressway in Jiangsu province.The result show that the emergency response capability of expressway in Jiangsu province is"good",and the better application effect provides a theoretical research basis for the emergency response capability assessment of expressway in snow&ice weather.

关 键 词：应急能力 冰雪天气 改进的层次分析法 模糊综合评估 

分 类 号：U492.8[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]