农业转移人口进城定居意愿影响因素的实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis of the Factors Affecting the Willingness of Agricultural Transfer Population to Settle in Cities

作　　者：周韬[1] 刘珊 王超 张雪 ZHOU Tao;LIU Shan;WANG Chao(School of Economics,Henan University of Science and Technology,Luoyang,Henan 471023)

机构地区：[1]河南科技大学经济学院,河南洛阳471023

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2020年第14期216-220,共5页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：河南省高校青年骨干教师项目(2019GGJS078);河南科技大学SRTP项目(2019283)。

摘　　要：基于行为与预期视角,构建了农业转移人口进程定居意愿影响因素的分析框架,通过对河南省3市1280个农业转业人口的问卷调查,采用二元Logisitic模型实证研究了反映农业转业人口主观意愿的相关因素对其进城定居意愿的影响。结果表明:受教育程度、城市务工时间和幸福感对其进城定居意愿具有显著影响,收入水平、劳动合同、社保、职业等因素影响不显著。提出了提升心理预期;发挥市场机制对农村资源要素的配置;从制度层面把控关键要素(人、业、钱、房等)推行市民化;发展农业转移人口的选择能力;打造公平的竞争平台等政策建议。Based on the behavior and expectation perspective,the paper constructs the analysis framework of the factors affecting the resettlement willingness of the agricultural transfer population.By the questionnaire survey of 1280 agricultural transfer populations in 3 cities of Henan Province,using the binary Logisitic model,the factors affecting the willingness of gricultural transfer population to settle in cities were studied empirically.The results showed that the education level,urban working time and happiness have a significant influence on the willingness to settle in the city.The income level,labor contract,social security,occupation and other factors are not significant.Policy recommendations were put forward,such as promoting psychological expectations;giving play to the market mechanism to allocate rural resource elements;from the institutional level,control the key elements(people,industry,money,housing,etc.)to promote citizenship;developing the ability of agricultural transfer population selection;creating a fair competition platform.

关 键 词：农业转移人口 进城定居 市民化 村民化 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学]