冰冻圈变化的适应框架与战略体系  

Adaptation research of cryosphere change

作　　者：丁永建 杨建平 方一平 王世金[1] DING Yongjian;YANG Jianping;FANG Yiping;WANG Shijin(State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science,Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou 730000,China;Key Laboratory of Eco-Hydrology of Inland River Basin,Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou 730000,China;College of Resource and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China;Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Chengdu 610041,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院冰冻圈科学国家重点实验室,甘肃兰州730000 [2]中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院内陆河流域生态水文重点实验室,甘肃兰州730000 [3]中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京100049 [4]中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所,四川成都610041

出　　处：《冰川冻土》2020年第1期11-22,共12页Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology

基　　金：美丽中国生态文明建设科技工程专项(XDA23060704);国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFA0602404)资助。

摘　　要：冰冻圈变化的适应研究是冰冻圈科学领域的新兴研究方向,是当今全球变化研究中自然科学与社会科学交叉融合研究的典型代表。文章阐述了冰冻圈变化适应研究的内容框架,分析了目前国际冰冻圈变化适应研究的现状、动态与发展趋势。在此基础上,从理论探索与实践研究两方面,详细介绍了中国冰冻圈变化的适应研究。在理论与方法研究方面,中国冰冻圈变化适应研究2007年起步至今,已建立了由冰冻圈变化影响(冰冻圈服务和冰冻圈灾害)-风险-恢复力-适应构成的中国冰冻圈变化适应研究理论与方法体系;在实践研究方面,从致利与致害两条线,开展了冰冻圈服务与冰冻圈灾害风险研究;从冰冻圈与人类圈交互视角,开展了冰冻圈变化的脆弱性、恢复力与适应典型案例研究。未来,一方面需进一步完善和深化现有理论体系,尤其是冰冻圈与人类圈相耦合的灾害风险、脆弱性与适应定量评估方法;另一方面,既要针对不同冰冻圈问题,加强案例研究,又要拓展尺度,深入宏观研究,为国家和地方政府决策提供科学依据与对策建议。Adaptation research of cryosphere is a novel research direction in the field of cryosphere science,and it is a typical representative of the interdisciplinary integration of natural sciences and social sciences in the study of global change.This paper elaborates the content framework of the adaptation research of cryosphere,and analyzes the present situation,dynamics and development trend of the international adaptation research of cryosphere change.The adaptation study of the cryosphere in China is introduced in detail from aspects both of theoretical exploration and practical research.In terms of theoretical and methodological research,China has established a research theory and methodology system for the adaptation of cryosphere since 2007,which is composed of the impacts of cryosphere change,including cryospheric service and cryospheric disaster-risk-resilienceadaptation.In terms of practical study,research on the cryospheric service and the risk assessment of cryospheric disaster are carried out from two lines of profit and harm.Typical case studies on the vulnerability,resilience and adaptation of cryosphere are implemented from the perspective of interaction between cryosphere and anthroposphere.In the future,on the one hand,the existing theoretical system needs to be further improved and deepened,especially the quantitative assessment method of disaster risk,vulnerability and adaptation;on the other hand,we should not only strengthen the case study for different cryospheric problems,but also expand the scale,go deep into macro research,and provide scientific basis and countermeasures for the decision-making of national and local governments.

关 键 词：冰冻圈变化 影响 风险 适应 战略体系 

分 类 号：P343.6[天文地球—水文科学]