中国对“一带一路”沿线国家直接投资与出口贸易互动关系研究  

Interactive Relationship Between China’s Direct Investment and Export in “The Belt and Road” Countries

作　　者：韩小蕊 Han Xiaorui(School of Economics,Hebei University,Baoding 071000,China;School of Economics and Commerce,Hebei Finance University,Baoding 071000,China)

机构地区：[1]河北大学经济学院,保定071000 [2]河北金融学院经济贸易学院,保定071000

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2020年第8期95-100,共6页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“中国企业境外直接投资合规风险及应对研究”(项目编号:19BGJ019)。

摘　　要：随着"一带一路"倡议的深入实施,中国对"一带一路"沿线国家的直接投资与出口贸易规模不断增加。为探究中国对"一带一路"沿线国家的直接投资与出口贸易之间的内在关系,本文以"一带一路"沿线57个国家为样本,基于2005~2018年统计数据,通过构建联立方程组分别进行全样本和分地区系统研究。结果表明,我国对"一带一路"沿线国家的直接投资和出口之间存在较为显著的双向互动关系,部分地区出口贸易对直接投资的促进作用不够显著。With the in-depth implementation of"the Belt and Road"initiative,the scale of China’s direct investment and export trade in"the Belt and Road"countries has been increasing.In order to explore the internal relationship between China’s direct investment and export trade in"the Belt and Road"countries,this paper conducts all sample and sub-region study by buil-ding the system of simultaneous equations on the basis of the statistical data from 2005 to 2018 of 57 countries along"the Belt and Road".The results show that there is a significant interactive relationship between China’s direct investment and export in"the Belt and Road"countries,and export trade does not obviously promote direct investment in some regions.

关 键 词：一带一路 对外直接投资 出口贸易 互动关系 地区差异 替代效应 

分 类 号：F74[经济管理—国际贸易] F752.62[经济管理—产业经济]