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作 者:张可云[1] 张颖[1] ZHANG Keyun;ZHANG Ying(School of Applied Economics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China)
机构地区:[1]中国人民大学应用经济学院,中国北京100872
出 处:《经济地理》2020年第7期1-11,共11页Economic Geography
基 金:国家社会科学基金青年项目(19CJY002)。
摘 要:黄河流域是中国重要的经济地带,在全国经济社会发展中占有十分重要的地位。文章基于泰尔指数分解法、偏离—份额分析法和GIS分析技术,分别从黄河流域上中下游、七大沿黄城市群和73个城市(地级市、州或盟)三个不同空间尺度对2009—2018年黄河流域的区域经济差异演变进行研究。泰尔指数分解法的结果表明:2009—2018年,黄河流域上中下游内经济差异的贡献超八成,但绝对差异呈逐年缩小态势;七大沿黄城市群间经济差异的贡献近九成,但绝对差异的缩小趋势明显;黄河流域城市间的经济差异逐年缩小。偏离—份额分析法的结果表明:对比2009—2013年和2014—2018年,黄河流域上游失去产业竞争力优势,中游失去产业结构优势,下游产业结构与竞争力由劣转优;黄河流域上游城市群产业结构与竞争力双优势格局有所转变,宁夏沿黄城市群的三次产业竞争力优势持续保持;黄河流域以中心城市为核心的都市圈格局基本形成。因此,应从上中下游、城市群和城市等多个空间尺度协同推进黄河流域区域经济协调、高质量发展。The Yellow River Basin is an important economic zone in China and plays a very important role in the economic and social development of the country.Based on Theil index decomposition method,shift-share analysis method and GIS analysis technology,this paper studies the evolution of regional economic disparity in the Yellow River Basin from 2009 to 2018 separately from the three different spatial scales,including upper,middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River Basin,seven major urban agglomerations along the Yellow River,and 73 cities(referred to a prefecturelevel city,state,or alliance).The results of Theil index decomposition method show that from 2009 to 2018,the contribution of economic disparity of the upper,middle,and lower reaches of the Yellow River Basin has exceeded 80%,but the absolute disparity has been decreasing year by year;The contribution of the economic disparity among the seven major urban agglomerations along the Yellow River is nearly 90%while the absolute disparity is shrinking significantly;The economic disparity among cities in the Yellow River Basin is shrinking year by year.The results of shift-share analysis method show that comparing between 2009-2013 and 2014-2018,the upper reaches of the Yellow River Basin lost their industrial competitiveness advantage,the middle reaches lost their industrial structure advantages,and the industrial structure and competitiveness changed from inferior to better in the lower reaches;The dual advantages of industrial structure and competitiveness of the urban agglomerations in the upper reaches of the Yellow River Basin have been changed,and the competitive advantages of the three major industries of the urban agglomerations along the Yellow River in Ningxia have been maintained;The metropolitan circle with the central city as the core in the Yellow River Basin has basically formed.Therefore,the coordinated and high-quality development of the regional economy of the Yellow River Basin should be promoted collaboratively from multiple spatial scales,incl
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