世锦赛视角下男子田赛跳跃类项目发展与成绩预测研究  

Study on the Development and Performance Prediction of Men's Jumping Events from the Perspective of World Championships

作　　者：郭树君 曹杰 Guo Shujun;Cao Jie(Sport College of Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,Hubei,China;不详)

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学体育学院,湖北武汉430079 [2]广东体育学院,广东广州510500

出　　处：《体育科技文献通报》2020年第8期71-73,87,共4页Bulletin of Sport Science & Technology

摘　　要：本文运用文献资料、数理统计、灰色预测等方法,对历届世界田径锦标赛男子田赛跳跃类项目前八名运动员的运动成绩进行研究。分析得出以下结论:1、世锦赛男子田赛跳跃类项目整体实力呈现缓慢上升趋势;2、第18届世锦赛夺冠预测成绩分别为:男子跳远8.65m、男子三级跳远17.74m、男子跳高2.34m、男子撑竿跳高6.00m;3、我国发展现状已经从大部分项目无法踏入世锦赛的大门实现到有能力踏入世锦赛的大门但无法获得较高的运动成绩的转变,但仍然存在优秀运动员基数小、项目发展不均衡的特点。This paper uses the methods of literature,mathematical statistics and grey prediction to study the sports performance of the top eight athletes in men's jumping events in the world athletics championships.The following conclusions are drawn from the analysis:1.The overall strength of men's jumping events in the world championship presents a slow rising trend;2.The prediction results of the 18th world championship are as follows:men's long jump 8.65m,men's triple jump 17.74m,men's high jump 2.34m and men's pole vault 6.00m respectively.3.The current situation of China's development has changed from being unable to enter the world championships in most of the events to being able to enter the world championships but unable to achieve high athletic performance.However,there are still some characteristics of small base of elite athletes and uneven development of the events.

关 键 词：世界田径锦标赛 田赛跳跃类项目 发展趋势 灰色预测 

分 类 号：G820[文化科学—体育训练]