A new approach to modeling the fade-out threshold of coronavirus disease  

新型冠状病毒消退阈值建模方法

作　　者：Tianxiang Yue Zemeng Fan Bin Fan Zhengping Dua John P.Wilson Xiaozhe Yin Na Zhao Ying’an Wang Chenghu Zhou 岳天祥;范泽孟;范斌;杜正平;John P.Wilson;尹笑哲;赵娜;王英安;周成虎(State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environment Information System,Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,China;College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China;College of Land Resources and Environment,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China;Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanjing 210023,China;Spatial Sciences Institute,University of Southern California,Los Angeles,CA 90089-0374,USA;Department of Preventive Medicine,Keck School of Medicine,University of Southern California,Los Angeles,CA 90032,USA;Department for Population Data,China Population and Development Research Center,Beijing 100081,China)

机构地区：[1]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environment Information System,Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,China [2]College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China [3]College of Land Resources and Environment,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China [4]Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanjing 210023,China [5]Spatial Sciences Institute,University of Southern California,Los Angeles,CA 90089-0374,USA [6]Department of Preventive Medicine,Keck School of Medicine,University of Southern California,Los Angeles,CA 90032,USA [7]Department for Population Data,China Population and Development Research Center,Beijing 100081,China

出　　处：《Science Bulletin》2020年第15期1225-1227,共3页科学通报（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41930647,41421001,41590844);Strategic Priority Research Program(A)of Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA20030203);Innovation Project of State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environment Information System(O88RA600YA);Biodiversity Investigation,Observation and Assessment Program(2019-2023)of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment of China。

摘　　要：On 21 December of 2019,four lower respiratory tract samples were collected from patients with pneumonia of unknown cause in Wuhan,China[1].This disease was later diagnosed as a coronavirus disease.The World Health Organization(WHO)named the coronavirus disease as COVID-19 on 11 February and declared a pandemic on 11 March 2020.The COVID-19 is a previously unknown disease with no tools available for pharmaceutical management at the early stage of its outbreak.

关 键 词：RESPIRATORY 新型冠状病毒 patients 

分 类 号：R373.1[医药卫生—病原生物学]