“一带一路”背景下中国对泰国出口技术溢出效应研究  

The Technology Spillover Effect of China's Export to Thailand under the“Belt and Road”Initiative

作　　者：张帅[1] 林宏宇[2] Zhang Shuai;Lin Hong-yu

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学,北京100091 [2]华侨大学国际关系学院,厦门361021

出　　处：《亚太经济》2020年第4期119-127,M0007,共10页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

基　　金：教育部国别区域问题研究专项“中泰共建一带一路:进展、路径与前景”(编号:19GBQY056)。

摘　　要：采用中介效应分析方法,探索中国对泰国出口技术溢出是否影响了泰国经济发展。结果表明,中泰两国已经形成较高水平的产品内分工关系,作为泰国中间品和资本品的重要外部来源之一,中国对泰国的出口技术溢出在直接助推泰国经济发展的同时,还通过促进泰国产业整体升级的方式产生间接作用。因此,“一带一路”背景下全面衡量“中国制造”对东道国经济发展的影响,必须增加对两国分工关系的思考,摆脱简单的“出超”和“入超”视角的束缚。This article uses the time series data of Thailand from 2003 to 2018,and the intermediary effect analysis method to explore whether the spillover of China's export technology to Thailand has affected Thailand's economic develop‐ment.The results show that in the context of a high level of intra-product division of labor between China and Thai‐land,China is one of the important external sources of Thai intermediate products and capital products.The spillover of China’s export technology to Thailand is directly contributing to Thailand’s economic development.It also has an indirect effect by promoting the overall upgrading of the Thai industry.Therefore,in order to comprehensively mea‐sure the impact of"Made in China"on the economic development of the host country in the context of the new era of the"Belt and Road",it is necessary to increase the thinking of the division of labor between the two countries and get rid of the simple"extra"and"into"perspectives.

关 键 词：技术溢出 产品内分工 产业升级 经济发展 中介效应 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]