系统性风险如何使“凯尔特虎”变成“欧猪”?——兼论对我国的启示  

How does systemic risk turn‘Celtic Tiger’to‘European Pig’:concurrently on enlightenment to China

作　　者：关晶奇 GUAN Jing-qi(Centre for Economic Research in Developing Countries, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China;Strategic Development Department, China Postal Savings Bank, Beijing 100872, China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学发展中国家经济研究中心,北京100872 [2]中国邮政储蓄银行战略发展部,北京100872

出　　处：《沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2020年第4期289-296,共8页Journal of Shenyang University of Technology(Social Sciences)

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(17JJDGJW012)。

摘　　要：爱尔兰是一个典型的小型开放经济体,在短短半个世纪时间里就完成了由“欧洲农村”到“凯尔特虎”的进化,却又在金融海啸中沦落为“欧猪”国家。全面剖析爱尔兰在成为“凯尔特虎”过程中之得失,探讨其发展过程中埋下的房地产泡沫、银行信贷政策过松、过度依赖国际金融市场等风险隐患,并提出政策建议,旨为我国经济建设提供参考。Ireland is a typical small open economy,and has completed the evolution from“European countryside”to“Celtic Tiger”in only half a century,while has become a“European Pig”country in the financial tsunami.The gains and losses of Ireland in the process of becoming a Celtic Tiger are comprehensively analyzed,and the hidden risks are discussed of real estate bubble,the over loose credit policy,and the over reliance on international financial market in the process of development.Policy suggestions are proposed,in order to provide reference for China's economic construction.

关 键 词：爱尔兰 小型开放经济体 系统性风险 金融危机 

分 类 号：F830.2[经济管理—金融学]