产业结构升级的创新驱动效应研究——基于中国省际面板数据的实证分析  

Research on the Innovation Driving Effect of Industrial Structure Upgrading——An Empirical Analysis Based on Chinese Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：李虹含[1,2] 贺宁 汪存华[2] 杨茂 Li Honghan;He Ning;Wang Cunhua;Yang Mao(International Monetary Institute, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100005, China;One Belt and One Road Development Institute, Yili Normal University, Yining 835000,China;School of Economics and Trade, Henan University of Technology, Zhengzhou 450001,China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学国际货币研究所,北京100005 [2]伊犁师范大学一带一路发展研究院,新疆伊宁835000 [3]河南工业大学经济贸易学院,河南郑州450001

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2020年第15期54-61,共8页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金培养项目(2018SKPY08);伊犁师范大学一带一路发展研究院重点项目(YDYL2019ZD001)。

摘　　要：基于2008-2017年中国省际面板数据,对产业结构升级的技术创新与制度创新驱动效应进行面板回归分析。实证结果表明,技术创新和制度创新与产业结构合理化均呈负相关关系,即技术创新和制度创新不利于产业结构合理化;而技术创新和制度创新分别与产业结构高级化呈正相关关系,即技术创新和制度创新对产业结构高级化有积极促进作用;同时,技术创新和制度创新的交互项对产业结构高级化的影响显著为负,即技术创新与制度创新匹配程度较低,对产业结构高级化产生了阻碍作用。Based on the 2008-2017 Chinese provincial panel data,the regression analysis of the technological innovation and institutional innovation driving effect of industrial structure upgrading was carried out.The empirical results show that there is a negative correlation between technological innovation and institutional innovation and industrial structure rationalization,that is,technological innovation and institutional innovation are not conducive to the rationalization of industrial structure;and technological innovation and institutional innovation are positively correlated with the advanced industrial structure.That is to say,technological innovation and institutional innovation have positively promoted the industrial structure.At the same time,the interaction between technological innovation and institutional innovation has a significant negative impact on the industrial structure,that is,the degree of matching between technological innovation and institutional innovation is low.The advancedization of the industrial structure has created a hindrance.

关 键 词：产业结构合理化 产业结构高级化 创新驱动 技术创新 制度创新 

分 类 号：F264[经济管理—国民经济]