“引进来”能否“稳就业”--来自中国工业企业的微观证据  

Does Inward Investment Promote Employment Stability?--Evidence From Chinese Industrial Firms

作　　者：李磊[1,2] 卢坤豪 LI Lei;LU Kunhao(School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071;Center for Transnationals'Studies,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071)

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院,天津300071 [2]南开大学跨国公司研究中心,天津300071

出　　处：《国际商务（对外经济贸易大学学报）》2020年第4期80-95,共16页INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“全球价值链视角下企业'走出去’对中国就业影响问题研究”(18BJL128)。

摘　　要：基于1998~2013年的微观工业企业数据,考察了"引进来"对本土企业就业波动性的影响效应。研究表明:外商投资的水平溢出效应增大了同行业本土企业的平均就业波动,而外商投资的垂直溢出总体上减小了本土企业的就业波动,且这一效应主要来自于后向溢出。进一步对外商投资影响本土企业就业波动性的作用机制进行分析与检验,发现:在行业内,外商投资会对现存企业造成冲击,进而增大本土企业的就业波动性;在行业间,外商投资企业主要是通过与上下游本土企业之间建立业务联系而对本土企业的就业波动性产生影响。Based on the panel data of Chinese manufacturing enterprises during 1998 to 2013,this paper examines the impact of inward investment on the employment volatility of local firms.The study finds that: the horizontal spillover of foreign investment can increase the average employment volatility of local firms,while the vertical spillover of foreign investment generally reduces the employment volatility,and this effect is mainly due to the backward spillover.Further analysis and testing of the impact mechanism reveals that: inward investment will impact on current enterprises in the industry,which tends to increase the employment volatility of local firms.Between industries,multinational enterprises affect the employment volatility mainly by establishing business contacts with local firms upstream and downstream.

关 键 词：外商投资 就业波动 水平溢出 垂直溢出 

分 类 号：F830.59[经济管理—金融学] F241.4