基于多元线性回归模型的中药材市场价格分类预测实证研究  

Empirical Study on Market Price Classification and Prediction of Traditional Chinese Medicine Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model

作　　者：崔旭盛[1,2] 丁颖辉[3] 高秀强[2] 靳鹏博 郭玉海[1] 董学会[1] CUI Xusheng;DING Yinghui;GAO Xiuqiang;JIN Pengbo;GUO Yuhai;DONG Xuehui(College of Agronomy and Biotechnology,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100193;Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co.Ltd.,Shijiazhuang.Hebei 050035;College of Economics,Hebei University,Baoding,Hebei 071002)

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学农学院,北京100193 [2]石家庄以岭药业股份有限公司,河北石家庄050035 [3]河北大学经济学院,河北保定071002

出　　处：《北方园艺》2020年第14期157-161,共5页Northern Horticulture

基　　金：国家重点研发计划资助项目(2017YFC1701700);国家中药标准化资助项目(ZYBZH-C-HEB-12);河北省重点研发计划资助项目(19226433D)。

摘　　要：以多元线性回归模型为基础,针对不同类型中药材,以板蓝根、红景天、山茱萸、人参为典型代表,重点研究了其价格影响因素、影响方式和影响程度,并对模拟价格和真实价格进行了对比研究。结果表明:多元线性回归模型可以进行中药材市场价格的定性和定量判断;不同类型中药材市场价格影响因素具有差异性,并且每种类型药材均有其市场价格的特殊影响因素。Based on the multiple linear regression model,aiming at different types of Chinese medicinal materials,the study focused on the price influencing factors,influencing mode and influencing degree of Radix isatidis,Rhodiola officinalis,Cornus officinalis and Panax ginseng.The simulated price and the real price were compared and studied.The results showed that the multiple linear regression model could be used to judge the market price of traditional Chinese medicine qualitatively and quantitatively,and the influencing factors of market price of different types of traditional Chinese medicine were different,and each type of medicinal material had its own special influencing factors of market price.

关 键 词：中药材 多元线性回归模型 市场价格 

分 类 号：S567[农业科学—中草药栽培]