粤桂黔高铁经济带对沿线城市旅游产业影响研究--以柳州为例  

Study on the Influence of the Yue-Gui-Qian High Speed Rail Economic Belt on the Tourism Industry of Cities Along the Line--a Case Study of Liuzhou City

作　　者：秦智[1] 王越 Qin Zhi;Wang Yue(Guangxi University of Science and Technology,Liuzhou Guangxi 545006,China)

机构地区：[1]广西科技大学经济与管理学院,广西柳州545006

出　　处：《柳州职业技术学院学报》2020年第4期23-28,共6页Journal of Liuzhou Vocational & Technical College

基　　金：柳州市博士联合会软科学研究项目。

摘　　要：粤桂黔高铁经济带的开通对沿线城市旅游产业的发展起着重要的作用。以柳州为例,选取2010-2017年旅游人数以及旅游收入相关指标作为样本指标数据,结合Excel建立灰色预测模型对相关数据进行预测,运用“有无对比法”将有粤桂黔高铁的实际值与无粤桂黔高铁的预测值之间对比分析,实证研究粤桂黔高铁经济带对柳州旅游产业所产生的影响。研究结果表明,粤桂黔高铁经济带的开通对柳州旅游产业的发展起着积极促进作用的同时,也会带来一定的挑战。在实证结果的基础上,提出相应的政策建议。The opening of the high-speed railway economic belt between Guangdong,Guangxi and Guizhou(Yue-Gui-Qian)plays an important role in the development of tourism industry in the cities along the line.Taking Liuzhou city as an example,the selection of travel and tourism revenues in 2010-2017 related index as sample data,combined with the excel grey prediction model is established to forecast the related data,using"with and without comparison method"will be Yue,Gui actual values of high-speed rail in Guizhou and no Yue,Gui comparative analysis between predicted values of high-speed rail in Guizhou,the empirical study the Yue-Gui-Qian high-speed railway economic belt on the impact of Liuzhou tourism industry.The research results show that the opening of the economic belt will not only play a positive role in promoting the development of Liuzhou's tourism industry,but also bring some challenges.On the basis of the empirical results,the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.

关 键 词：粤桂黔高铁经济带 城市旅游产业 柳州 

分 类 号：F590.3[经济管理—旅游管理]