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作 者:胡弘志 左海聪[1,2] HU Hongzhi;ZUO Haicong(Nankai University;University of International Business and Economics)
机构地区:[1]南开大学法学院 [2]对外经济贸易大学法学院
出 处:《国际贸易》2020年第7期89-96,共8页Intertrade
基 金:国家社会科学基金重点项目“人民币国际化的法律问题研究”(13AZD090);国家社会科学基金重大项目“引进外资与对外投资两大开放战略的协调机制与政策研究”(15ZDA057)的阶段性研究成果。
摘 要:自中国政府推动人民币国际化以来,欧盟及其成员国对人民币国际化给予了积极支持和合作。其主要动因在于:欧元的应用范围比美元要窄,且不属于避险资产,长期来看,人民币国际化对欧元的影响相对较小;中国资本项目的开放能为欧洲市场参与者和欧盟带来潜在益处;中欧在币缘政治上没有根本利益冲突,中欧在减少美元货币权力对世界经济和政治的不利冲击方面有着共同利益,在建立多元国际货币体系方面有着共同诉求。因此,中欧货币合作前景可期。但是,欧盟对“一带一路”倡议的政治疑虑、美国对欧盟及其成员国外交关系的影响可能消解中欧货币合作的未来前景。Since the Chinese government promoted RMB internationalization,the EU and its member states have given active support and cooperation to RMB internationalization.The main motivations are:Because the euro is less widely used than other international currencies and does not enjoy safe-haven status,the consequences of introducing another major currency could be,at least over the longer term,comparatively less profound.The opening of China's capital account can bring potential benefits to European market participants and the EU.China and the EU have no fundamental conflicts of interest in currency politics,share a common interest in reducing the adverse impact of US dollar currency power on the world economy and politics,and share common aspirations in establishing a diversified international monetary system.Consequently,the prospects for China-EU monetary cooperation are promising.However,the EU s political doubts about the Belt and Road Initiative and the impact of US-EU relations on the diplomatic relations between the EU and its member states are likely to affect the prospects of China-EU currency cooperation.
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