普京修宪的政治分析  

Political Analysis on Putin’s Constitutional Amendment

作　　者：庞大鹏[1] Pang Dapeng

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所

出　　处：《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》2020年第4期1-18,154,共19页Russian，East European & Central Asian Studies

摘　　要：2020年1月15日,俄罗斯总统普京在国情咨文中正式提出修宪。普京修宪是俄执政阶层充分酝酿和精心设计的政治举措。普京修宪与普京2018年再次执政以来稳中有忧的国内形势密切相关。普京修宪着眼于俄罗斯“2024问题”的解决。从提出到落实仅仅两个月,俄罗斯立法机构即完成了宪法修正的所有法律程序,这体现了俄罗斯社会对普京长期执政具有社会共识。此次修宪内容非常丰富,既涉及俄罗斯立法、行政与司法机构之间的权限划分,也预示未来俄罗斯有可能在独联体范围内采取重大行动,以实现这一地区的重新一体化。新冠疫情冲击了普京的既定部署,普京战略的前景与世界政治在后疫情时代的不确定性具有明显的共振性。On January 15,2020,Russian President Putin officially proposed to amend the Constitution in his State of the Union address.The constitutional amendment is a political move fully deliberated and carefully designed by the ruling class.It is closely related to the stable but worrying domestic situation since Putin returned to power in 2018,and it aims at solving Russia’s“2024 problem.”From the proposal to the implementation,the Russian legislature has completed all the legal procedures for constitutional amendment in just two months,which shows that Russia’s social consensus on Putin’s long-term governance.The content of this constitutional amendment is very rich.It not only involves the division of authority between the legislative,administrative and judicial institutions,but also indicates that Russia may take major actions within the CIS in the future to realize the reintegration of this region.Nevertheless,the corona virus has disturbed Putin’s plan.The prospects of Putin’s strategy will be closely related to the uncertainty of world politics in the post-epidemic era.

关 键 词：修宪 俄罗斯政治 世界政治 政治体系 总统权力 欧亚一体化 

分 类 号：D75[政治法律—政治学]