重庆市建筑垃圾现状及产生量预测研究  

Research on Present Situation and Production Predict of Construction and Demolition Debris in Chongqing

作　　者：向维 杨延梅[1] 刘俊[1] Xiang Wei;Yang Yanmei;Liu Jun(Hohai College,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 400074)

机构地区：[1]重庆交通大学河海学院,重庆400074

出　　处：《环境卫生工程》2020年第4期105-109,共5页Environmental Sanitation Engineering

摘　　要：近年来,重庆市城镇化、工业化速度加快,建筑垃圾产生量逐年增加。依据CJJ/T 134—2019建筑垃圾处理技术标准,对2009—2018年重庆市建筑垃圾产生量进行计算,利用SPSS时间序列预测模型对2019—2028年的建筑垃圾产生量进行预测。预测结果发现重庆市的建筑垃圾产生量随着经济发展呈上升趋势,2028年的工程垃圾产生量为1.117 858×10~7t,拆除垃圾产生量为5.457 255×10~7t,装修垃圾产生量为6.759 61×10~6t,建筑垃圾产生量为7.504 7×10~7t。其中年平均拆除垃圾产生量占比约72%、工程垃圾产生量约占15%、装修垃圾约占10%。In recent years,with the acceleration of urbanization and industrialization,the output of the construction and demolition debris in Chongqing has been increasing year by year. The calculation on the construction and demolition debris generated in Chongqing from 2009 to 2018 was carried out according to the Technical Standard for Construction and Demolition Waste Treatment(CJJ/T 134—2019),and the SPSS time series prediction model was used to predict the output of construction and demolition debris generated from 2019 to 2028. The prediction results found that the output of the construction and demolition debris in Chongqing was increased with the economic development. In 2028,the output of engineering waste,demolition waste,decoration waste as well as construction and demolition debris could reach 1.117 858×10~7 tons,5.457 255×10~7 tons,6.759 61×10~6 tons,and 7.504 7×10~7 tons,respectively. Among them,the annual average production of demolition waste accounted for about 72%,the output of engineering waste accounted for about 15%,and the decoration waste accounted for about 10%.

关 键 词：建筑垃圾 重庆市 时间序列预测 

分 类 号：X799.1[环境科学与工程—环境工程] X705