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作 者:张映红 朱晶[1] ZHANG Yinghong;ZHU Jing
出 处:《世界农业》2020年第9期4-12,140,共10页World Agriculture
基 金:国家社科基金重大项目“健全对外开放下国家粮食安全保障体系研究”(20ZDA102)。
摘 要:本文首先对技术性贸易壁垒影响农产品出口的作用机制进行深入解析;其次将2001—2017年中国农产品出口的微观数据与样本期内中国提出特别贸易关注的宏观数据相匹配,并从特别贸易关注视角切入,运用规范的计量方法对上述作用机制进行了实证检验。结果显示,特别贸易关注视角下技术性贸易壁垒显著抑制中国农产品出口,这一结论在考虑双边关税以及构建特别贸易关注的工具变量来解决内生性问题的情境下依然成立,且结论具有较好的稳健性。此外,拓展性分析的结果表明,一项特别贸易关注被讨论的频率越高、关注由多成员共同提出会加重技术性贸易壁垒对中国农产品出口贸易的抑制效应。This paper first deeply analyzes the mechanism of technical barriers to trade affecting agricultural products export.Then,the micro data of China’s agricultural exports from 2001 to 2017 are matched with the macro data of China’s specific trade concerns during the sample period,and the above mechanism is empirically tested by standardized measurement methods from the perspective of specific trade concerns.The results show that technical barriers to trade significantly inhibit China’s agricultural exports from the perspective of specific trade concerns.This conclusion is still valid of considering bilateral tariffs and constructing instrumental variables of specific trade concerns to solve endogenous problems,which means the conclusion is relatively robust.In addition,the results of the extended analysis show that the higher the frequency of a specific trade concerns being discussed and the more common the specific trade concerns being put forward by multiple countries will both make the inhibitory effect of technical barriers to trade on China’s agricultural export trade more serious.
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