2020年河南经济运行分析及走势研究  

Economic Operation Analysis and Trend Research of Henan in 2020

作　　者：河南省社会科学院课题组 谷建全[2] Henan Provincial Academy of Social Sciences Task Force

机构地区：[1]不详 [2]河南省社会科学院,郑州450002

出　　处：《区域经济评论》2020年第5期140-147,共8页Regional Economic Review

摘　　要：面对新冠肺炎疫情的冲击和国内外复杂的发展形势,2020年上半年河南统筹推进疫情防控和经济社会发展工作,经济运行在经历第一季度的短暂“停滞”后,主要经济指标开始呈逐月回升态势,经济增长进入稳步复苏阶段。下半年,河南面临的宏观经济环境依旧比较严峻,但经济长期向好的基本面并没有变,仍处于重要战略机遇期。综合预计,在新冠肺炎疫情不发生二次反弹的情况下,河南经济将在下半年步入常态化增长,并将于第四季度恢复到疫情前的增长态势。因此,河南必须更加全面、辩证、长远地看待特殊形势,做好“六稳”工作、落实“六保”任务,努力在逆势中应变取胜,确保完成决胜全面建成小康社会、决战脱贫攻坚的目标任务。In the face of the impact of COVID-19 epidemic and the complex development situation at home and abroad,Henan coordinated the promotion of epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development in the first half of 2020.After the temporary“stagnation”of the first quarter,the main economic indicators began to pick up month by month,and the economic growth entered the stage of steady recovery.In the second half of the year,the macroeconomic environment henan faces is still relatively grim,but the fundamentals of long-term economic improvement have not changed,and it is still in an important period of strategic opportunities.It is predicted that without a second rebound of COVID-19,Henan’s economy will enter into normal growth in the second half of the year and return to the growth trend before the epidemic in the fourth quarter.Therefore,we must take a more comprehensive,dialectical and long-term view of the special situation,do a good job in the work of“six stability”,implement the task of“six guarantees”,strive to rise against the trend,and ensure the decisive victory in building a moderately prosperous society in all respects and the decisive battle against poverty.

关 键 词：经济运行 “六稳”“ 六保” 疫情防控 

分 类 号：F202[经济管理—国民经济]