增加值视角下区域服务贸易协定对全球服务贸易自由化进程的影响  

Effects of Regional Service Trade Agreements on the Liberalization of Global Trade in Services: From the Perspective of Value Added

作　　者：王霞 Wang Xia

机构地区：[1]浙江师范大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2020年第8期42-55,M0003,共15页World Economy Studies

基　　金：浙江省自然科学基金一般项目“中美贸易摩擦背景下大型区域贸易协定对中国先进制造业生产贸易的影响机制研究”(立项编号:LY20G030009)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：2008年全球金融危机后随着服务贸易地位的上升,区域服务贸易协定(RSTAs)成为拉动全球服务贸易自由化进程的主要载体。如何有效估计不同RSTAs自由化承诺的服务贸易效应成为学界关注的重要问题。文章以全球62个经济体参与的100个"深度RSTAs"为样本构建"RSTAs深度"指标,估计2005~2015年不同自由化承诺程度的RSTAs对全球服务增加值出口的平均效应。结果发现:RSTAs仅对成员经济体之间中间品国内增加值的出口有显著的积极影响,对中间品外国增加值、最终品国内增加值和外国增加值的出口增长没有显著的促进作用;RSTAs对发达经济体成员之间最终品增加值出口以及发达经济体与发展中经济体成员间中间品增加值出口的增长具有显著的积极影响,对发展中经济体成员之间增加值出口增长没有显著影响;发达经济体成员之间增加值出口增长主要是由RSTAs允许"自由人流动"条款和"审议条款"的出口促进效应驱动的,发达经济体和发展中经济体成员间增加值出口增长主要是由RSTAs允许"自由人流动"条款的出口促进效应驱动的;RSTAs实施过程中不同条款自由化承诺程度的阶段性效应有明显的异质性。文章的研究对中国在RSTAs谈判中合理设计相关条款的自由化承诺以及对RSTAs未来统计工作的完善和相关研究的深化具有一定的借鉴意义。This paper makes full use of the relevant statistical data of OECD TiV A database and Andreas( 2014) database,and studies the effects of RSTAs on the process of global service trade liberalization. The estimates show that:( 1) RSTAs have a significant positive impact on the domestic value added exports of intermediate products among member economies,but have no significant positive impact on the foreign value added export of intermediate products,the domestic value added export and foreign value added export of final products;( 2) RSTAs have a significant positive impact on the value-added export growth of final products among developed economies and the value-added export growth of intermediate goods between developed and developing economies,but have no significant impact on the value-added export growth among developing economies;( 3) The growth of value-added exports among developed economies is mainly driven by the export promotion effect of the " Natural Person Movement" and the " Review" provisions commitments,and the growth of value-added exports between developed and developing economies is mainly driven by the export promotion effect of the " Natural Person Movement" provision commitments;( 4) There is obvious heterogeneity in the phase effects of different liberalization provisions. This study has a certain reference significance for the policy formulation of RSTAs and related academic research in the process of global service trade liberalization.

关 键 词：RSTAs 服务贸易自由化条款 RSTAs深度 增加值出口 

分 类 号：F746.18[经济管理—国际贸易]