江苏省海洋经济高质量发展水平评价  

Comprehensive Measurement of the Index System for Marine Economy High-Quality Development in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：刘波 龙如银[2] 朱传耿[3] 孙小祥 潘坤友 LIU Bo;LONG Ruyin;ZHU Chuangeng;SUN Xiaoxiang;PAN Kunyou(Research Institute of Jiangsu Coastal Development,Yancheng Teachers University,Yancheng 224007,Jiangsu,China;School of Management,China University of Mining and Technology,Xuzhou 221116,Jiangsu,China;Center for Urban and Regional Development Studies,Nanjing Sport Institute,Nanjing 210014,Jiangsu,China;School of Management,Yancheng Institute of Technology,Yancheng 224051,Jiangsu,China)

机构地区：[1]盐城师范学院江苏沿海开发研究院,中国江苏盐城224007 [2]中国矿业大学管理学院,中国江苏徐州221116 [3]南京体育学院城市与区域发展研究中心,中国江苏南京210014 [4]盐城工学院管理学院,中国江苏盐城224051

出　　处：《经济地理》2020年第8期104-113,共10页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(41671122、41871108);国家自然科学基金青年项目(41601594);江苏省自然科学基金项目(BK20160445)。

摘　　要：基于"新发展理念",从"创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享"五大维度构建江苏省海洋经济高质量发展评价指标体系,对江苏省2000—2016年海洋经济高质量发展系统进行赋权分析;运用线性加权模型测算海洋经济高质量发展水平,结合耦合协调度模型和核密度方法研究江苏省海洋经济高质量发展水平的动态演化规律。结果表明:①江苏省海洋经济发展质量水平总体上呈波动趋势,创新能力和科研水平的不足是制约海洋经济高质量发展的短板。②五大维度发展指数曲线波动幅度较大,主要表现在创新发展指数曲线呈"M"型,协调发展指数曲线呈"N"型,绿色发展指数曲线后期呈"M"型,开放发展指数曲线呈"W"型,共享发展指数曲线呈"W"型结构。③"五大"维度耦合协调度波动明显,呈现"轻度失调—濒临失调—勉强协调—初级协调—中级协调"四个阶段,距离优质协调状态还有很大的提升空间;核密度估计表明,江苏省海洋经济高质量发展水平在考察期内呈收敛态势,在此基础上对提高江苏省海洋经济高质量发展水平提出了合理化建议。Marine economic development is an important part of the national economic and social development strategy.The marine economy high-quality development have greatly affected and restricted the national economic coordination and social development, and its modernization process. Based on the five "new development concepts", the high-quality development evaluation index system has been built for Jiangsu marine economy in the five dimensions of innovation,coordination, green, openness and sharing, and analyzing the empowerment of these from 2000 to 2016. The linear weighted model is used to measure the high-level development level of marine economy,the coupling coordination degree model and Kernel density estimation is studied to find the dynamic evolution law of the level of marine economy highquality development in Jiangsu, The results show that: in 2000-2016, 1) The quality level of Jiangsu’s marine economic development is generally fluctuating, the short-term constraint is the insufficiency of innovation ability and scientific research level that restricts the marine economy high-quality development in Jiangsu;2) The fluctuation amplitude of the "five dimensions" development index curve is relatively large,which is mainly reflected in the "M" type of the innovation development index curve,the "N" type in the coordinated development index curve,the "M" type in the later stage of the green development index curve, the open development index curve is "W" type and the "W" structure in the shared development index curve;3) The coupling coordination degree of the five dimensions fluctuates obviously,which can be divided into four stages: mild disorder-imminent disorder-barely coordinated-primary coordination-intermediate coordination,there is still much room for improvement from intermediate coordination to high-quality coordination state;4) Kernel density estimation indicates that the level of marine economy high-quality development showed a convergence during the inspection period, on this basis, some reasonable sug

关 键 词：海洋经济 高质量发展 评价指标体系 耦合协调度 核密度估计 科技创新 绿色发展 港口腹地 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]