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作 者:赵晓琳[1] Zhao Xiaolin(China University of Political Science and Law,Beijing 100088)
机构地区:[1]中国政法大学,北京100088
出 处:《情报杂志》2020年第9期21-27,120,共8页Journal of Intelligence
摘 要:[目的/意义]2020年2月欧盟成立了新的情报学院,然而学术界对欧盟情报一体化发展一直存在争议,明确其内在逻辑、障碍和动力有助于我们进一步预测欧盟情报合作的未来。[方法/过程]从欧盟情报一体化起源谈起,通过对其历史发展进行梳理,总结其内在逻辑:欧盟顺境时发展缓慢,逆境时发展加速。进而从成员国、外部和民意等三方面来分析其障碍和动力。[结果/结论]通过研究发现,情报合作困境可归结为英国不积极、美国和北约限制、民意和合法性问题等。然而,近年来,英国脱欧一波三折,特朗普的“美国优先”政策实施,以及难民危机和恐怖袭击激增,都为欧盟情报一体化的发展提供了历史性机遇,虽然困难重重,但是欧盟正朝着情报一体化的方向发展。[Purpose/Significance]In February 2020,the European Union established a new intelligence academy.However,the academic community has always disputed the development of EU intelligence integration.Clarifying its internal logic,obstacles,and motivation will help us further predict the future of EU intelligence cooperation.[Method/Process]Starting from the origin of EU intelligence integration,by combing its historical development,the paper summarizes its internal logic:the EU develops slowly during prosperity and accelerates during adversity.Then it analyzes its obstacles and motivations from three aspects:member states,external and public opinion.[Result/Conclusion]Through research,it is found that the dilemma of intelligence cooperation can be attributed to inactivity in the United Kingdom,restrictions by the United States and NATO,public opinion and legality issues.However,in recent years,Brexit has experienced many ups and downs,the implementation of Trump's"America First"policy,and the surge in refugee crises and terrorist attacks have all provided historic opportunities for the development of EU intelligence integration towards the direction of information integration.
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