基于指标变异程度与关联程度组合赋权的中国工业结构转换能力动态综合评价  

Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation of China’s Industrial Structure Transformation Capability Based on the Combination Weighting Method of Index Variation Degree and Index Correlation Degree

作　　者：范德成[1] 方璘 宋志龙 FAN De-cheng;FANG Lin;SONG Zhi-long(School of Economics and Management, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, China)

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001

出　　处：《运筹与管理》2020年第6期166-178,共13页Operations Research and Management Science

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目(19AGL007);黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(18GLD291);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金重点项目(3072019CFW0902)。

摘　　要：从需求因素、供给因素、技术因素、可持续发展和对外贸易五方面构建了中国工业结构转换能力评价指标体系,运用反映指标变异程度差异信息的熵值法和离差最大化法以及反映指标关联程度差异信息的BP-DEMATEL方法确定指标权重,然后运用最小距离—最大熵方法对不同的权重结果进行集成得到组合权重,以此权重对中国30个省份的工业结构转换能力进行了静态与动态评价。评价结果显示中国工业结构转换能力各省份非均衡发展现象突出,呈现从东向西阶梯状递减的规律。The evaluation index system of China’s industrial structure transformation capability is constructed from five aspects:demand factor,supply factor,technical factor,sustainable development and foreign trade.The entropy method,deviation maximisation method and BP-DEMATEL method are used to determine the difference information of index variation degree and the difference information of index correlation degree.Then,the combined weights are obtained by integrating the results of different weights with the minimum distance-maximum entropy method,and the industrial structure transformation capability of 30 provinces in China is evaluated with the combined weights.The evaluation results show that the unbalanced development of China’s industrial structure transformation capability is prominent,showing a ladder-like decline from east to west.

关 键 词：组合赋权 产业结构转换 工业结构转换能力 动态评价 

分 类 号：F421[经济管理—产业经济]