太空技术的战略定位、博弈逻辑与产业走势  

The Strategic Position,Game Logic and Industrial Trend of the Space Technology

作　　者：苏世伟 Su Shiwei

机构地区：[1]复旦大学发展研究院

出　　处：《学术前沿》2020年第16期54-65,107,共13页Frontiers

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“印度经济社会发展与对外政策研究”的阶段性研究成采,项目批准号:19JZD055。

摘　　要：登月飞船、航天飞机走下神坛之后,经济制约造成一系列太空探索困境,依然是太空技术和产业发展面临的主要问题,清除太空碎片等太空公共事务呼唤更加紧密的国际合作。鉴别、预测和运用颠覆性太空技术的难度不低于技术发明本身;我国两弹一星、载人航天的系统运作机制只是应用机制,我们缺少真正意义上的颠覆性技术研发机制;缩短颠覆性太空技术研发者与应用者之间的距离,是我国发展太空技术的当务之急。SpaceX公司在美国宇航局(NASA)的帮扶下,取得太空技术应用的历史性突破,对我国发展太空经济具有启示作用。After the lunar spacecrafts and space shuttles became no longer fascinating,economic constraints have caused a series of difficulties in space exploration,which are still the main problems affecting the development of space technology and industry.The elimination of space debris and other space public affairs call for closer international cooperation.Identifying,predicting and using disruptive space technology is no less difficult than the technological invention itself;the system operation mechanism for China's atomic and nitrogen bombs,man-made satellite and manned space missions is only an application mechanism,and we lack a truly disruptive technological research and development mechanism;shortening the distance between the R&D personnel and users of disruptive space technology is now the top priority for China's space technology development.With the help of NASA,SpaceX has made a historic breakthrough in the application of space technology,which provides an insight to China for the creation of space economy.

关 键 词：太空技术 太空产业 太空安全治理 太空竞争 颠覆性技术 

分 类 号：V19[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程]