中超球队主客场竞技表现差异分析:基于赛季、积分区间与球场的实证研究  

Performance Difference of CSL Teams in Home and Away Matches:An Empirical Study Based on Seasons,Point Intervals and Stadiums

作　　者：陈叙南 赵柯人 肖楚瑜 杨铄[1] CHEN Xunan;ZHAO Keren;XIAO Chuyu;YANG Shuo(Faculty of Sports Science,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315211,China;School of Humanities and Communication,Ningbo University,Ning-bo 315211,China;Faculty of Foreign Languages,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315211,China)

机构地区：[1]宁波大学体育学院,宁波315211 [2]宁波大学人文与传媒学院,浙江宁波315211 [3]宁波大学外国语学院,浙江宁波315211

出　　处：《天津体育学院学报》2020年第5期605-612,共8页Journal of Tianjin University of Sport

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(项目编号:17FTY003)。

摘　　要：在职业足球联赛中,球队在主客比赛中存在竞技表现差异是一种常见现象。基于比赛进球相关、比赛进攻组织相关和比赛防守相关3个类别共计23项足球比赛竞技表现相关指标,对2017—2019赛季中所有参加过中超联赛的20支球队之间共计720场比赛中主队与客队的竞技表现进行统计学分析。表明,近3个赛季中,中超球队的主客场竞技表现之间存在显著差异,尤其是在进球与进攻组织方面,且这种差异有随时间不断增加的趋势;在不同竞技水平区间球队的表现方面,亚洲冠军联赛积分区间球队的主客场竞技表现差异较为稳定,而中游区和降级区球队的主场进攻表现和客场防守表现在不断提升;各积分区间球队主场比赛中的客队竞技表现变化情况逐步趋向分化,亚冠区球队主场的客队竞技表现受到愈发明显的负面影响;在北京工人体育场、广州天河体育中心、南京奥林匹克体育场等球场中,连续3个赛季以来客队竞技表现的下降幅度都显著高于其他球场。Team performance difference between home and away games is quite normal in professional football.By using 23 football team performance indicators concerning goal scoring,offense and defense in football matches,we analyzed the performance of 720 home and away matches of all 20 teams in 2017-2019 Chinese Super League.According to analysis results,significant difference exists between home and away match performance of all CSL teams,especially in aspects concerning goals scoring and offence.Considering the competitiveness level of all teams,the performance of AFC qualification teams in home and away matches has been stable,while the offence of middle-level teams in home matches and defense of relegation-level teams in away matches have improved in the past three seasons.The performance changes of teams in all three intervals in all stadiums have differed in the past three seasons,away teams’performance in AFC qualification teams’home stadiums have been influenced more obviously.Also,Beijing Gongren Stadium,Guangzhou Tianhe Stadium and Nanjing Olympic Stadium have been the three stadiums with most negative influence for all away teams in the past three seasons.

关 键 词：比赛数据分析 中超联赛 主场效应 

分 类 号：G843[文化科学—体育训练]