全球新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)与甲型流感(2009-H1N1)疫情初期的流行病学对比分析及中医药防治策略研究  

A Comparative Analysis of the Epidemic Trends between Covid-19 and 2009-H1N1 at the outset as well as the Prevention and Treatment Strategies with Chinese Medicine

作　　者：张荣强 刘辉 李凤英[2] 李向文 刘启玲 李星慧 孙娜 张蓓 史传道 Zhang Rongqiang;Liu Hui;Li Fengying;Li Xiangwen;Liu Qiling;Li Xinghui;Sun Na;Zhang Bei;Shi Chuandao(School of Public Health,Shaanxi University of Chinese Medicine,Xianyang,Shaanxi,712046;Xianyang Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Xianyang,Shaanxi,712046)

机构地区：[1]陕西中医药大学公共卫生学院,陕西咸阳712046 [2]咸阳市疾病预防控制中心,陕西咸阳712000

出　　处：《陕西中医药大学学报》2020年第5期1-6,17,共7页Journal of Shaanxi University of Chinese Medicine

基　　金：陕西省卫生健康委员会卫生健康科研项目(2018A017);陕西省教育厅重点科学研究计划项目(19JS015)。

摘　　要：目的探讨和比较2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)和甲型流感(2009-H1N1)疫情初期的变化趋势及流行特征,为优化COVID-19疫情防控策略提供科学依据。方法收集全球2020年1月11日—2020年2月18日的COVID-19疫情信息,以及全球2009年4月26日—2009年5月27日的H1N1疫情信息,采用Excel、Origin软件开展H1N1和COVID-19的描述性流行病学分析,并分析二者的变化规律。结果截至2020年2月18日24时,中国境内31个省(自治区、直辖市)累计报告确诊病例74185例,治愈出院病例14376例,死亡病例2004例;COVID-19和H1N1爆发后的26天内,COVID-19共波及25个国家或地区,H1N1共波及42个国家或地区;COVID-19的累计确诊病例数和死亡病例数高于2009年H1N1的确诊病例数,且其增长速度也显著高于H1N1的增长速度。结论疫情初期,H1N1在全球的蔓延速度快于COVID-19,但是COVID-19的传染性更强,对人类的危害性更大,需全球共同努力遏制其蔓延。Objective To explore and compare the changes and epidemiological characteristics of Covid-19 and 2009-H1 N1 at the outset,providing scientific basis for optimizing Covid-19 prevention and control strategies.Methods The global Covid-19 epidemic information was collected from January 11,2020 to February 18,2020,and the H1 N1 epidemic information from April 26,2009 to May 27,2009 was collected.Excel and Origin software were used to develop H1 N1 and Covid-19 descriptive epidemiological analysis.Results As of 24:00 on February 18,2020,a total of 74,185 confirmed cases were reported in 31 provinces(autonomous regions,municipalities)in China,including 14,376 cured cases,and 2004 dead cases;26 days after the outbreak of Covid-19 and H1 N1,Covid-19 affected 25 countries or regions,while H1 N1 affected 42 countries or regions.The cumulative number of confirmed cases and deaths of Covid-19 were higher than those of H1 N1 in 2009,and its growth rate was also significantly higher than that of H1 N1.Conclusion At the early stage of its outbreak,H1 N1 spread faster than COVID-19 around the world,but COVID-19 is more contagious and more harmful to humans.It requires concerted global efforts to curb its spread.

关 键 词：新型冠状病毒肺炎 甲型流感 变化趋势 流行规律 

分 类 号：R563.1[医药卫生—呼吸系统]