基于Bayes小子样理论的一维修正弹任务可靠度检验  

Mission Reliability Inspection Method of the One Dimension Trajectory Correction Projectile Based on Bayesian Method

作　　者：马康[1] MA Kang(No.92941 Troops of PLA,Huludao 125001)

机构地区：[1]92941部队,葫芦岛125001

出　　处：《舰船电子工程》2020年第7期164-166,共3页Ship Electronic Engineering

摘　　要：任务可靠度是反映一维修正弹作战能力的最重要指标,是试验鉴定必须重点考核的项目。针对以为修正弹任务可靠度考核试验时间长和消耗大的问题,论文提出基于Bayes综合检验的一维修正弹任务可靠度指标考核方法,通过数值算例给出了详细实施步骤。实例分析结果表明该方法能够有效减少试验样本量,降低试验成本,能够为该型信息化弹药的试验鉴定提供理论参考。Mission reliability is the most important index reflecting the quality of the one dimension trajectory correction projectile,and is also the indispensable test item which must be tested in the test and identification. Due to the problems of long test time and large consumption,a mission reliability inspection method based on Bayesian method has been put forward in this paper,and the implementation steps of the Bayesian method are given by numerical examples. The results show that the Bayesian method can reduce test samples and test cost,and provide theoretical references for the test and identification of the projectile.

关 键 词：一维修正弹 BAYES方法 小样本 任务可靠度 

分 类 号：TB114.3[理学—概率论与数理统计]