中国外商直接投资的产业非对称性研究  

A Study on FDI Industrial Asymmetry in China

作　　者：崔百胜[1] 马振宇 CUI Baisheng;MA Zhenyu(School of Business,Shanghai Normal University,Shanghai 200234,China)

机构地区：[1]上海师范大学商学院,上海200234

出　　处：《山东财经大学学报》2020年第4期41-53,共13页Journal of Shandong University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“周期不一致背景下世界主要经济体货币政策溢出效应与中国的应对策略研究”(16BJY168)。

摘　　要：在我国坚定提出扩大改革开放,与其他国家经济交流不断深化以及积极引入外资的背景下,使用"三缺口模型"分析外资引入对我国产业结构的影响机制,发现外资主要填补了我国的"技术缺口";通过构建混合截面全局向量自回归(MCSGVAR)模型,研究了FDI对我国各行业产出的非对称性和其对三大产业的影响,发现国家层面FDI对我国各行业产出的影响呈现显著的非对称性,同时,国家层面FDI对我国第二产业的正面效应最大,第一产业次之,第三产业则主要受到负面的影响。Under the background of China ’ s firm proposal of expanding reform and opening up,deepening economic exchanges with other countries and actively introducing foreign investment, this study analyzes the influencing mechanism of foreign investment on China industrial structure by adopting the " three gap model",and finds that foreign investment mainly fills China’s " technology gap" while the impact of FDI on the output asymmetry of the various industries in China and its impact on the three major industries are studied by constructing the Mixed Cross-section Global Vector Auto-regression( MCSGVAR) model. The results show that the national-level FDI has a significant asymmetric impact on the output of various industries in China,and meanwhile the national-level FDI has the greatest positive effect on China second industry followed by the first industry while the third industry is mainly affected negatively.

关 键 词：FDI 三缺口模型 行业非对称性 MCSGVAR 

分 类 号：F830.9[经济管理—金融学]