社会保险对农村留守老年人的子女养老替代效应研究——基于CHARLS的微观数据  

Research on the Substitute Effect of Social Insurance on the Children of Rural Left-behind Elderly——Based on CHARLS’Microdata

作　　者：裴劲松[1] 矫萌 PEI Jin-song;JIAO Meng(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100089,China)

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学经济管理学院,北京100089

出　　处：《河北大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2020年第5期125-135,共11页Journal of Hebei University(Philosophy and Social Science)

基　　金：中国劳动保障科学研究院部级补助项目(LKY-2017b-6)。

摘　　要：基于中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)2011年与2015年两期平衡面板数据,运用倍差法(DID)分析了以新农保、新农合为主的农村社会保险对农村留守老年人的子女经济供养、医疗供给的替代性效果,实证研究发现:新农保、新农合对其子女提供的经济供养、医疗供给具有替代性,但替代程度均较低;新农合能够在一定程度上提高其医疗参与率,降低其医疗担忧;同时,基于异质性讨论进一步发现,个人(家庭)保障能力越低,新农保、新农合对其子女养老的替代效应越明显。因此,要加大新农保、新农合等社会保险政策为农村留守老年人带来的经济与医疗福利效应,在有效提高政策补贴标准与范围的基础上,着重关注农村留守老年人群体的养老与医疗困境,并实施具有针对性的倾斜政策。Based on the balance panel data of China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS),in 2011 and 2015,the DID method was used to analyze the substitute effect of economic support and medical supply for the children of rural left-behind elderly by rural social insurance based on new rural insurance and new rural cooperative medical insurance.Empirical research finds that the economic support and medical supply provided by the New Rural Insurance and New Rural Cooperative Medical Care for their children are lower.The New Rural Cooperative Medical Care can increase their medical participation rate and reduce their medical worries to a certain extent.At the same time,based on the heterogeneity discussion,it is further found that the lower the individual(family)security ability is,the more obvious the substitute effect of the New Rural Insurance and New Rural Cooperative Medical Care for the care of their children will be.Therefore,it is necessary to increase the economic and medical welfare effects of social insurance policies such as the New Rural Insurance and the New Rural Cooperatives on the rural left-behind elderly,on the basis of effectively improving the standard and scope of policy subsidies,focus on the elderly care and medical dilemma of rural left-behind groups,and implement targeted preferential policies.

关 键 词：新农保 新农合 经济供养 医疗供给 倍差法 

分 类 号：C913.7[经济管理]