探究产业结构升级的动力——基于资本市场和技术创新角度  

Explore the Driving Force of Industrial Structure Upgrading

作　　者：任伟 张姣姣 REN Wei;ZHANG Jiao-jiao(College of Economics, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan Hebei 063210, China)

机构地区：[1]华北理工大学经济学院,河北唐山063210

出　　处：《华北理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2020年第5期23-30,共8页Journal of North China University of Science and Technology(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：河北省社会科学基金项目“京津冀人力资源空间分布差异与产业结构升级”(HB19YJ009)。

摘　　要：产业结构问题制约产业结构升级,分析产业结构问题可探寻产业结构升级动力。资本市场和技术创新是产业结构升级动力的主要因素,建立TVP-VAR模型分析资本市场、技术创新对产业结构升级的脉冲响应及不足。结论:资本市场结构对产业结构升级效果不一致,股票市场融资对产业结构升级具有略低于银行中长期信贷的正的脉冲响应,且经济形势下行时股票市场对技术创新的作用明显,而中长期信贷抑制了技术创新,这种抑制效果随着滞后期的增加呈现U型结构;技术创新在推动产业结构升级中存在明显的结构性,2011下半年前技术创新对产业结构升级呈现抑制作用,2011下半年后转化为促进。Industrial structure problem restricts the upgrading of industrial structure,and the analysis of industrial structure can explore the driving force of industrial structure upgrading.Capital market and technological innovation are the main factors of the driving force of industrial structure upgrading,and the establishment of TVP-VAR model analyzes the pulse response and deficiency of capital market and technological innovation to the upgrading of industrial structure.Conclusion:The effect of capital market structure on industrial structure upgrading is inconsistent,stock market financing has a slightly lower positive pulse response to industrial structure upgrading,and the role of stock market on technological innovation is obvious when the economic situation is down,while medium-and long-term credit inhibits technological innovation,and this inhibition effect shows U-shaped structure with the increase of lag period;After the second half of 2011 it was transformed into a boost.

关 键 词：股票市场 银行中长期信贷市场 技术创新 产业结构升级 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济]