人口老龄化对城镇居民消费行为的影响——来自微观家户调查数据的经验证据  

Influence of Population Aging on Consumption Behavior of Urban Residents:Empirical Evidence from the Data of Micro-household Survey

作　　者：严丹 石永珍 YAN Dan;SHI Yong-zhen(School of Public Administration,Guangdong University of Finance&Economics,Guangzhou,Guangdong,510320,China;Shen-zhen Municipal Financial Regulatory Bureau,Shenzhen,Guangdong,518035,China)

机构地区：[1]广东财经大学公共管理学院,广东广州510320 [2]深圳市地方金融监督管理局,广东深圳518035

出　　处：《凯里学院学报》2020年第4期33-37,共5页Journal of Kaili University

基　　金：广东省哲学社科规划项目:新常态下广东省金融结构和就业结构的交互性及适配性研究(项目编号:GD15XLJ01)。

摘　　要：文章利用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)2012年和2014年数据,在尽量控制不可观测因素的前提下,实证分析了人口老龄化对城镇居民消费总量和结构的影响,研究发现:人口老龄化对城镇居民的消费总量具有显著的抑制效应;人口老龄化对八大类消费支出的影响具有显著差异,人口老龄化抑制了城镇家庭的衣着、家庭设备及日用品、交通通信和文教娱乐支出,对医疗保健支出具有显著的正向影响,对食品、居住、其他商品和劳务支出的影响不显著。Using data from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)for 2012 and 2014,the paper empirically analyzed the influence of population ageing on the total consumption and structure of urban residents in advance of controlling non-observable factors.The results showed that the population ageing has significant inhibitory effect on the consumption of urban residents.It also has a significant difference in the impact on the eight major categories of consumer spending.Furthermore,the population ageing has inhibited urban households’spending on clothing,household equipment and daily necessities,transportation and communications,and culture,education and entertainment,and has a significant positive impact on medical and health-care spending.However,the impact on expenditure on food,housing,other goods and services is not significant.

关 键 词：人口老龄化 居民消费 CFPS 老年扶养化 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济] C924.24[社会学—人口学] D669.6[政治法律—政治学]