建筑业上市公司信用风险评价研究——基于Logistic模型  

Research on the Credit Risk Evaluation of Listed Companies in Construction Industry:Based on the Logistic Model

作　　者：辛立秋[1] 鲍宪军 XIN Liqiu;BAO Xianjun(College of Economics and Management,Northeast Agricultural University,Harbin 150030,China)

机构地区：[1]东北农业大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150030

出　　处：《建筑经济》2020年第10期98-101,共4页Construction Economy

基　　金：黑龙江省科技厅软科学项目“黑龙江省农村金融服务水平测度及影响因素分析”(GC16D113);黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(17JYB082)(18JYE652)。

摘　　要：以建筑业上市公司为研究对象,从六个方面构建包含27个二级指标的信用风险评价指标体系;基于2012~2014年上市建筑企业财务指标数据,采用主成分分析法对评价指标进行降维调整,提取10个公因子,在此基础上,建立Logistic模型识别出关键因素,为建筑企业的信用风险评价和防控提供参考。This paper takes the listed companies in construction industry as the research subject,builds credit risk evaluation system with 27 secondary indexes from six aspects.Based on the financial index data of listed construction enterprises from 2012 to 2014,uses the main component analysis method to reduce the dimension of the credit risk evaluation indexes and extracts 10 common factors,on the basis,establishes logistic model to identify the key factors,provides reference for the credit risk prevention and control for construction enterprises.

关 键 词：建筑企业 信用风险评价 金融风险检测 LOGISTIC模型 

分 类 号：F407.9[经济管理—产业经济]