日本家用燃料电池热电联供系统在中国应用的经济性分析  

Economic Analysis of the Application of Japan's Household Fuel Cell CHP System in China

作　　者：神瑞宝 代贤忠 蒋东方 韩新阳 鲁强 靳晓凌 SHEN Ruibao;DAI Xianzhong;JIANG Dongfang;HAN Xinyang;LU Qiang;JIN Xiaoling(State Grid Energy Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 102209,China)

机构地区：[1]国网能源研究院有限公司,北京102209

出　　处：《中国电力》2020年第10期74-79,共6页Electric Power

基　　金：国家电网公司科技项目(智慧能源服务系统关键技术研究及示范,52020118007D)。

摘　　要：分析日本家用燃料电池热电联供系统(ENE-FARM)的技术原理及推广应用情况,针对影响ENEFARM经济性的因素较为复杂的特点,建立考虑设备价格、家庭年用电量、电力及燃气价格等因素的ENEFARM经济性分析一般模型,引入盈亏平衡电价曲线分析ENE-FARM在日本和中国应用的经济性差异,并分别对2020年和2030年场景进行测算。分析表明:现阶段ENE-FARM在日本已具备应用经济性,但在中国尚不具备大规模推广应用的条件,可在海岛等偏远地区以及自然灾害频发地区试点应用;2030年,在设备造价逐步降低,居民电力及燃气价格体系逐步理顺的前提下,ENE-FARM系统在中国居民家庭中的应用将实现盈亏平衡。Firstly, the technical principle of Japan household fuel cell CHP system(ENE-FARM) and its application are introduced.Secondly, in view of the complex characteristics of the factors that affect the economics of ENE-FARM, a general economic analysis model of ENE-FARM is established that takes into account equipment prices, annual household electricity consumption, electricity and gas prices and other factors. Thirdly, the break-even electricity price curve is used to analyze the economic differences of ENEFARM applied in Japan and China, and a scenario analysis is made respectively for both 2020 and 2030. The results show that at present, ENE-FARM has the application economy in Japan, but has no conditions for large-scale promotion and application in China.It can be applied in remote areas such as islands and other disaster-prone areas. In 2 030, with the gradual decrease of the equipment cost and perfection of residential electricity and gas price system, the application of the ENE-FARM system in domestic households will achieve a break-even.

关 键 词：燃料电池 热电联供系统 经济性 盈亏平衡电价曲线 场景分析 

分 类 号：TM911.4[电气工程—电力电子与电力传动]