参与全球价值链促进经济复杂度提升了吗?--基于TiVA数据的实证分析  

作　　者：梅诗晔 刘林青[2] 

机构地区：[1]九江学院电子商务学院,江西九江332005 [2]武汉大学企业战略管理研究所,湖北武汉430072

出　　处：《企业经济》2020年第9期152-160,共9页Enterprise Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“全球生产网络、知识产权保护与中国外贸竞争力提升研究”(项目编号:15ZDB155);江西省社会科学研究规划项目“‘一带一路’倡议下江西省制造业转型升级路径及机制研究”(项目编号:19YJ24)。

摘　　要：经济复杂度是从广度层面衡量一国竞争力的重要指标,采用系统GMM估计法检验参与全球价值链对经济复杂度的影响。研究表明:全球价值链参与度显著促进经济复杂度提升;区分发展水平的分阶段估计结果显示,发展中国家参与全球价值链对经济复杂度的影响高于发达国家,表明发展中国家参与全球价值链受益更多;区分“一带一路”国家与非“一带一路”国家的分阶段估计结果显示,“一带一路”国家参与全球价值链对经济复杂度的促进作用高于非“一带一路”国家,并且表现出明显的阶段效应。基于实证分析结果,建议我国积极应对全球价值链变革、坚定不移推进“一带一路”建设来提升经济复杂度。Economic complexity is an important indicator for measuring a country's competitiveness in terms of breadth.This study adopts systematic GMM estimation method to empirically test the relation the impact of global value chains on economic complexity and the results show that participation in global value chains significantly improves the economic complexity index;the phased estimation of distinguishing the level of development shows that the impact of the developing countries participating in the global value chains on economic complexity is higher than that of the developed countries,indicating that the developing countries have benefited more;the phased estimation of distinguishing the Belt and Road initiative countries and the non-Belt and Road initiative countries shows that the participation of the Belt and Road countries in global value chains promotes economic complexity index more than that of the non-Belt and Road countries,which shows significant stage effect.Based on the findings of the empirical analysis,this study proposes that China should actively respond to the reform of the global value chains and consistently promote the construction of the Belt and Road initiative to increase economic complexity.

关 键 词：全球价值链 经济复杂度 产品空间理论 产业升级 “一带一路” 

分 类 号：F20[经济管理—国民经济]