新建通用机场航空业务量预测方法及应用  

Forecasting Method of Aviation Traffic Volume of Newly Built General Aviation Aerodrome and Its Application

作　　者：王文博 马强 华龙飞 李刚 WANG Wenbo;MA Qiang;HUA Longfei;LI Gang(CAST Zhongyu(Beijing)New Technology Development Co.LTD,Beijing 100028,China)

机构地区：[1]航科院中宇(北京)新技术发展有限公司,北京100028

出　　处：《民航学报》2020年第5期25-27,共3页Journal of Civil Aviation

摘　　要：航空业务量预测对于机场设计及运营有重大意义。本文根据通用机场业务特点,采取分类组合的预测方法,对华东某新建通用机场航空业务量进行预测,并得出近远期所需机位数,为该机场规划、运营提供参考依据。Aviation traffic volume forecast is of great significance to airport design and operation. According to the business characteristics of a general aviation aerodrome, this paper adopts the forecasting method of classification and combination to predict the aviation traffic volume of a new general aviation airport in East China.The numbers of aircraft stands in near and long term are obtained, providing reference for the planning and operation of the airport.

关 键 词：通用机场 航空业务量 预测 机位 分类组合 

分 类 号：F562.6[经济管理—产业经济]