中国教育代际流动程度的测算:基于CGSS的实证  

Measurement of Intergenerational Mobility of China's Education:A CGSS-based Empirical Analysis

作　　者：李修彪 黄乾[2,3] Li Xiubiao;Huang Qian(School of Business,Linyi University,Linyi Shandong 276005,China;School of Economics,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China;Collaborative Innovation Center for China Economy,Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China)

机构地区：[1]临沂大学商学院,山东临沂276005 [2]南开大学经济学院,天津300071 [3]南开大学中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心,天津300071

出　　处：《统计与决策》2020年第18期46-49,共4页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(17YJCZH094)。

摘　　要：教育代际流动问题日益引起政策制定者的重视,准确测算中国教育代际流动的现状及变动趋势是相关政策制定的重要前提。针对当前测算指标的单一性和测算结果的不一致性,文章综合使用概率转换矩阵和代际弹性对中国教育代际流动的现状及趋势性进行实证研究。结果显示:根据历次中国综合社会调查数据库(CGSS)计算得到的概率转换矩阵表和教育代际弹性,都揭示了中国教育代际流动在近年来呈现出缓慢递增的趋势;另外,与其他发达国家相比,中国教育代际流动处于中等取值水平,意味着中国在教育领域及相关领域实施的改革举措取得了显著成效。The issue of intergenerational mobility of education has drawn increasing attention of policy makers,and accurately measuring the situation and trend of intergenerational mobility in China is an important prerequisite for relevant policy formulation.Aiming at the singularity of the current measurement index and the inconsistency of the measurement results,this paper makes an empirical study on the current situation and trend of intergenerational mobility of education in China by using the probability transformation matrix and intergenerational elasticity comprehensively.The results show that the probability conversion matrix and the intergenerational elasticity of education calculated by the Chinese General Social Survey(CGSS)reveal that the intergenerational mobility of education in China presents a slowly increasing trend in recent years.In addition,compared with other developed countries,China's intergenerational mobility of education is at a medium level,which means that China's reform initiatives in the field of education and related fields have achieved remarkable results.

关 键 词：教育代际流动 概率转换矩阵 代际弹性 

分 类 号：F224.9[经济管理—国民经济]