中国城市群人口-经济时空格局演变非均衡差异研究  

A Study on Evolution of Unbalanced Differences in Chinese Urban Agglomerations'Population-economic Space-time Pattern

作　　者：韦政伟 王俊俊 陈嘉浩 Wei Zhengwei;Wang Junjun;Chen Jiahao(Business School,China University of Political Science and Law,Beijing 100088,China;School of Hotel Management,Guilin Tourism University,Guilin Guangxi 541006,China;School of Economics and Management,China University of Geosciences(Wuhan),Wuhan 430074,China)

机构地区：[1]中国政法大学商学院,北京100088 [2]桂林旅游学院酒店管理学院,广西桂林541006 [3]中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院,武汉430074

出　　处：《统计与决策》2020年第18期81-84,共4页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目(18AJL010)

摘　　要：人口与经济发展不协调是制约城市群高质量发展和可持续发展的重要因素之一。文章综合运用地理集中度、不一致指数、不均衡指数,分析中国城市群人口-经济在时间和空间上的非均衡性。结果显示:中国城市群人口地理集中度和经济地理集中度呈较强的正相关关系,2000—2017年人口-经济地理集中度斜率增大;不一致指数呈现明显的核心-外围空间差异,核心城市不一致指数普遍较低,外围欠发达城市不一致指数普遍较高;除京津冀、辽中南、中原、长江中游和宁夏沿黄城市群外,其余城市群的不均衡指数均呈下降趋势,不均衡指数较大的城市群主要分布在中西部,东部地区城市群不均衡指数较小。The disharmony between population and economic development is one of the important factors restricting the high-quality development and sustainable development of urban agglomeration.This paper uses geographic concentration,inconsistency index,and disequilibrium index to analyze the imbalance between population and economy in China's urban agglomerations in terms of time and space.The results are shown as follows:There is a strong positive correlation between geographical concentration and economic geographical concentration of the Chinese urban agglomerations,and from 2000 to 2017,the slope of demographic and economic geographical concentration increased.The incongruent index shows obvious core-peripheral space differences,with that of the core city relatively lower in general,and of the peripheral underdeveloped cities relatively higher in general.Except for the Beijing-Tianjing-Hebei region,south central Liaoning Provinces,central plains,the middle reaches of the Yangtze River and urban agglomeration along the Yellow River in Ningxia,the imbalance index of other urban agglomerations presents a downward trend.The urban agglomerations with large imbalance index are mainly distributed in the central and western regions,and the urban agglomeration imbalance index in the eastern region is small.

关 键 词：城市群 时空格局 地理集中度 不一致指数 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]