基于可公度方法的川滇地区地震趋势研究  

Study on Seismic Trend in Sichuan Yunnan Region Based on Commensurability Method

作　　者：沙鸿钰 凌梦云 熊秋林 SHA Hongyu;LING Mengyun;XIONG Qiulin(Faculty of Geomatics,East China University of Technology,330013,Nanchang,PRC;Key Laboratory for Remote Sensing Monitoring of Natural Disasters in Henan Province,Nanyang Normal University,473061,Nanyang,Henan,PRC)

机构地区：[1]东华理工大学测绘工程学院,南昌330013 [2]南阳师范学院,河南省自然灾害遥感监测重点实验室,河南南阳473061

出　　处：《江西科学》2020年第5期689-693,724,共6页Jiangxi Science

基　　金：江西省自然科学基金项目(20202BABL213030);江西省大气污染成因与控制重点实验室开放基金项目(AE2004);江西省教育厅科技项目(GJJ180419);东华理工大学博士科研启动基金项目(DHBK2018005)。

摘　　要：地震是困扰人类的重大自然灾害之一,地震灾害的频频发生不仅威胁了人民的人身安全,也给该地区带来了严重的经济损失。内陆地区的强震活动区域主要集中在川滇地区,由于它的地质构造稳定,强震表现出一定的规律性。利用川滇地区强震灾害数据,对数据进行可公度分析,用可公度方法预测该地区地震趋势,确定重点防震年份,以期减少地震灾害带来的损失。实验结果表明,2019年地震信号最强。Earthquake is one of the major natural disasters that afflict mankind.The frequent occurrence of earthquake disasters not only threatens the people's personal safety,but also brings serious economic losses to the region.The strong earthquake activity in inland area is mainly concentrated in Sichuan-Yunnan area,because of its stable geological structure,strong earthquake shows certain regularity.Based on the data of strong earthquake disasters in Sichuan-Yunnan area and the method of commensurability to predict the trend of strong earthquakes in this area,this paper intends to strengthen the pertinence study and determine the key earthquake-proof areas,so as to make the area in the active state of preventing major earthquake disasters.

关 键 词：可公度方法 强震预测 川滇地震分析 

分 类 号：P315[天文地球—地震学]