瓦格纳法则在中国的适用性检验  

The Applicability Examination of Wagner’s Law in China

作　　者：徐江彬[1] 戴琳 XU Jiangbin;DAI Lin(School of Finance,Jiangxi Normal University,Nanchang,Jiangxi 330022,China;Graduate School,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan,Hubei 430073,China)

机构地区：[1]江西师范大学财政金融学院,江西南昌330022 [2]中南财经政法大学财政税务学院,湖北武汉430073

出　　处：《金融教育研究》2020年第5期40-44,共5页Research of Finance and Education

摘　　要：当前中国经济发展的当务之急就是处理好政府和市场的关系,深入推进财税改革,积极应对经济下行压力,促进全国经济社会持续健康发展。通过建立面板变系数模型,检验瓦格纳法则在我国是否可行。基于我国29个省份地区2000年至2017年的统计数据,各省的参数估计值都大于零,表明在2000至2017年间,我国数据较好地支持了瓦格纳法则。The top priority for China’s economic development is to strike a balance between the government and the market,deepen fiscal and tax reform,actively respond to downward pressure on the economy,and promote sustained and sound economic and social development across the country.In this paper,by building a model of panel variation,we can test whether the Wagner rule is possible in our country.Based on the statistical data of 29 provinces and regions in China from 2000 to 2017,the estimated values of parameters in all provinces are greater than zero,indicating that the data of China well supports Wagner’s law from 2000 to 2017.

关 键 词：瓦格纳法则 财政 国民经济 财税改革 政府规模 

分 类 号：F812[经济管理—财政学] F124