印度对克什米尔争端的霸权型主导性及其影响  

India’s Hegemonic Dominance of the Kashmir Dispute and Its Influence

作　　者：杨思灵[1,2] 方婕 YANG Siling;FANG Jie

机构地区：[1]云南省社会科学院南亚研究所 [2]中国社会科学院大学马克思主义学院

出　　处：《南亚东南亚研究》2020年第5期16-29,153,154,共16页South and Southeast Asian Studies

摘　　要：印巴克什米尔争端由来已久。2019年8月5日,印度宣布成立所谓的“查谟—克什米尔”与“拉达克”两个中央直辖区,印巴克什米尔争端因此再次升级,双方呈现互不相让的态势。客观地看,印度对克什米尔争端的霸权型主导性是冲突再起的根本原因。因为印度对克什米尔争端的主导没有充分考虑巴基斯坦的利益诉求,同时其激进的主导方式并非为引导争端问题的解决,而是想以极端的方式护持自己的南亚地区霸权。尽管印度在克什米尔争端中确实有一定的优势,但其实力、能力的相对性为其主导性提供了限度。从理性角度讲,印巴在克什米尔问题上回归有限合作和对话是最现实的出路。然而,印度对霸权型主导性的追求一直没有停歇,尤其是近年来,印度不断在中印边界问题上进行挑衅,表明印度霸权型主导性正在产生溢出效应,对地区和平、稳定与安全构成严重威胁,值得警惕与防范。The dispute between India and Pakistan over Kashmir has a long history.On August 5,2019,India announced the establishment of so-called two central jurisdictions,Jammu and Kashmir,Ladakh.The dispute between India and Pakistan in Kashmir escalated again,and the two sides showed an irreconcilable situation.From an objective point of view,India’s hegemonic dominance of the Kashmir dispute is the root cause of the resurgence of the conflict.Because India’s leadership in the Kashmir dispute does not fully take into account the interests of Pakistan,and its radical leadership is not to guide the settlement of the dispute,but to protect its hegemony in South Asia in an extreme way.Although India does have certain advantages in the Kashmir dispute,the relativity of its strength and capacity provides limits for its dominance.It is the most realistic way for India and Pakistan to return to the limited cooperative game on the Kashmir issue.However,India’s pursuit of hegemonic dominance has never stopped,especially in recent years,India has constantly made provocations on the border issue between China and India,indicating that India’s hegemonic dominance is producing spillover effects,it poses a serious threat to regional peace,stability and security,which is worthy of vigilance and prevention.

关 键 词：印度 巴基斯坦 克什米尔争端 主导性 地区霸权 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系] D735.1[政治法律—政治学]