新冠疫情冲击与农业经济学的反思  

Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic and Introspection of Agricultural Economics

作　　者：胡冰川[1] Hu Bingchuan(Rural Development Institute,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences)

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院农村发展研究所,100732

出　　处：《经济评论》2020年第4期62-66,共5页Economic Review

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“供给侧结构性改革与发展新动力研究”(项目编号:16ZDA006)的阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：新冠疫情对全球农产品市场与农业政策带来很大的挑战,同样也为农业经济学在学科层面提供了一个反思的机会。从农产品市场连续性出发,可以观察到在农产品及初级产品交易中存在着明确的价值容器,为市场交易提供特定载体,新冠疫情在很大程度上并不是改变了农产品市场,而是改变了农产品市场的价值容器。面对疫情带来的超限风险,不同规模农业生产者所面临的损失比例大体相当,农业的规模经营并没有显示出更强的抗风险能力,这也需要对偏向农户生计的政策支持体系进行重新思考。更进一步地,在农业经济学中,政策因素已经深刻地内嵌于市场体系,新冠疫情带来的冲击将会使得农业政策工具和目标发生很大变化,对此应该有更深层次的理论探讨或者新的分析框架。The COVID-19 pandemic brings a great challenge to global agricultural market and agricultural policies.It also gives agricultural economics,on a discipline level,a chance to introspect.From the continuity of agricultural market,it can be observed that specific value container is existed in the trade of agricultural and primary production.The COVID-19 pandemic does not change agricultural market to a large extent,but change the value container of agricultural market.Facing the transfinite risk caused by the COVID-19 pandemic,the proportion of loss faced by agricultural producers of different operational scale is roughly the same.It suggests that the scale management of agriculture does not lead to higher anti-risk capability.In addition,this phenomenon brings the needs to rethink the policy support system that favors farmers’livelihood.Moreover,policy factors have been deeply embedded in the market system in agricultural economics.The impact of COVID-19 epidemic will make great changes in the tools and objectives of agricultural policy,which need a further theoretical discussion or a new analysis framework.

关 键 词：新冠疫情 价值容器 超限风险 农业政策 

分 类 号：F30[经济管理—产业经济]