3MS-5Meic安全系统模型构建及其应用研究  

Construction of 3MS-5Meic safety system model and its application

作　　者：吴超[1,2] WU Chao(School of Resources and Safety Engineering,Central South University,Changsha Hunan410083,China;Safety&Security Theory Innovation and Promotion Center(STIPC),Central South University,Changsha Hunan410083,China)

机构地区：[1]中南大学资源与安全工程学院,湖南长沙410083 [2]中南大学安全理论创新与促进研究中心,湖南长沙410083

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2020年第8期1-11,共11页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：中国工程院重大咨询研究项目(2019-ZD-39);国家自然科学基金重点项目资助(51534008)。

摘　　要：为了解决社会-技术系统不断发展中安全问题凸显的问题,需要构建适用于复杂系统和具有普适性的新安全系统模型。运用系统分析法、要素归类法及系统层次法,构建由微-中-宏3尺度(3MS)和安-人-机-物-管-环-信-文(5Meic)等8要素组成的嵌套式安全系统模型,并阐述该模型的特点及其应用方法;在此基础上,结合中国高铁的迅猛发展与高铁运营中潜在的突出风险,将该通用模型应用于高铁运营系统的安全管理模型构建之中,并实证社会力量参与高铁安全治理的作用机制和必要性,同时验证模型的有效性。研究结果表明:所提模型可用于指导微系统-中系统-宏系统各要素的安全微匹配-中匹配和宏匹配工作,从而实现复杂系统的安全目标;该模型也可应用于各种尺度和多种场景的安全分析与评价以及安全因素分类与体系构建。In order to address safety problems of social technology system which are more and more prominent during its continuous development,a new safety model that adapts to complex system and features general applicability is required to be developed.Firstly,by using system analysis method,factor classification method and system level method,a nested model was constructed,which was composed of micro-meso-macro three scale systems(3 MS)and mission-man-machine-material-managementenvironment-information-culture(5 Meic)8 factors.Secondly,its characteristics and application methods were described.Thirdly,this model was applied in construction of a safety management model of highspeed rail operation system considering China’s rapid development in this field and potential outstanding risks in its operation.Finally,mechanism and necessity of social forces participating in safety governance of high-speed rail were demonstrated,and the model was verified.The results show that proposed model can be used to guide safety micro-matching,meso-system matching and macro-matching of the elements in micro-meso-system and macro-system,so as to achieve safety objectives of complex systems.It can also be utilized in safety analysis and evaluation of various scales and scenarios,as well as classification of security factors and system construction.

关 键 词：3MS-5Meic模型 安全系统模型 高铁运营 安全治理 社会力量 

分 类 号：X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学]