Tropos-FRAM法在道路客运事故分析中的应用  

Application of Tropos-FRAM method in road passenger traffic accident analysis

作　　者：尹德志 帅斌[1,2,3] 黄文成[1,2,3] 张玥 张锐[1,2,3] 左博睿 YIN Dezhi;SHUAI Bin;HUANG Wencheng;ZHANG Yue;ZHANG Rui;ZUO Borui(School of Transportation and Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu Sichuan 611756,China;National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu Sichuan 611756,China;National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology,Chengdu Sichuan 611756,China)

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都611756 [2]西南交通大学综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,四川成都611756 [3]综合交通大数据应用技术国家工程实验室,四川成都611756

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2020年第8期151-157,共7页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(71173177);国家铁路局科技计划项目(KF2013-020,KF2014-041);西南交通大学研究生创新实验实践项目(YC201507103);西南交通大学研究生学术培养提升计划(跨学科创新培育)专题项目(2018KXK04)。

摘　　要：为深入探究道路旅客运输事故致因,预防事故发生,运用功能共振分析法(FRAM)中的功能模块替换Tropos目标风险框架中的任务节点,提出Tropos-FRAM事故分析方法;采用该方法构建Tropos-FRAM失效功能—事件网络,并分析事故,根据分析结果建立Tropos处理层;以"8·10"特别重大道路交通事故实例验证该方法。结果表明:Tropos-FRAM能弥补原有FRAM模型的不足,从源头深入探究参与者功能模块失效、功能连接失效原因,从而提出更有效的事故预防方法。In order to deeply explore causes of road passenger traffic accidents as well as prevent them,a Tropos-FRAM accident analysis method was proposed by replacing functional modules in FRAM with task nodes in Tropos framework.Then,a Tropos-FRAM failure function-event network was constructed by using this method to analyze accidents,and Tropos processing layers were established based on analysis results.Finally,this method was verified with"8·10"especially serious road traffic accidents as an example.The results show that Tropos-FRAM can make up for deficiencies of original model,and deeply explore root causes for failure of participants’functional modules and functional connections,which helps to put forward more effective accident prevention methods.

关 键 词：Tropos目标风险框架 功能共振分析法(FRAM) 道路客运事故 事故分析 事故预防 

分 类 号：X928[环境科学与工程—安全科学]