能源撬动政治:博弈东地中海天然气开发  

Energy Drives Politics:Competitions over the Gas Resource in Eastern Mediterranean

作　　者：王晋 Wang Jin

机构地区：[1]西北大学中东研究所 [2]西北大学叙利亚研究中心,西安710069

出　　处：《西亚非洲》2020年第5期21-41,共21页West Asia and Africa

基　　金：教育部国别与区域研究2019年度一般课题“西亚北非地区恐怖主义势力发展特点及其对策建议”(19GBQY111)阶段性成果;西北大学国家社科基金孵化项目“2000年以来巴以问题的新变化”(20XNFH010)资助。。

摘　　要：东地中海地区天然气开发的博弈,不仅影响该地区利益攸关国经济领域的能源合作,同样也深刻反映着复杂的地区国家间关系。东地中海天然气开发所引发的矛盾分歧,形成了以色列、希腊和塞浦路斯为一方,土耳其和“北塞浦路斯”为另一方的地区对立阵营,也凸显出美国和欧盟的重要作用。受到能源合作的驱动,塞浦路斯、以色列和希腊之间的政治合作也将不断加强,土耳其与“北塞浦路斯”的地区孤立状态则难以改变。由于土耳其、希腊、以色列和塞浦路斯之间的矛盾短期内难以化解,东地中海天然气所引发的纷争难以解决,地区国家间的博弈也将长期持续。The game-playing of the exploration of gas resource in Eastern Mediterranean not only facilitates the regional energy cooperation,but also influences the ties between regional states.On the one hand,gas development in the East Mediterranean encourages the energy and political cooperation between Israel,Cyprus,and Greece,while on the other hand,it highlights the importance of Cyprus issue,and further isolates Turkey and northern Cyprus,while the roles of EU and U.S.also become salient.Driven by the energy cooperation,the political ties between Cyprus,Israel and Greece would be more close,while the isolation status of Turkey and Northern Cyprus would continue.Given the fact that the stalemate between Israel,Cyprus,Greece,Turkey and Northern Cyprus might continue,the geopoltical competition in the region will continue for a long time.

关 键 词：天然气开发 东地中海 塞浦路斯 以色列 希腊 土耳其 东地中海天然气论坛 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]