农业与旅游产业融合发展的系统动力学分析  

Systematic Dynamics Analysis of the Integrated Development of Agriculture and Tourism Industry

作　　者：危浪 桂学文 WEI Lang;GUI Xue-wen(School of Economics and Management,Hunan College of Information,Changsha 410200,China;School of Information Management,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430040,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南信息职业技术学院经济管理学院,湖南长沙410200 [2]华中师范大学信息管理学院,湖北武汉430040

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2020年第19期261-268,共8页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：湖南省教育科学规划项目(XJK18CZY061)。

摘　　要：农业与旅游产业融合是农村产业融合的重要路径,对乡村振兴具有重要意义.基于系统动力学理论,分析农业与旅游产业融合系统中各要素的互动关系,采用Vensim PLE软件构建系统动力学模型,并设计4种不同模拟政策以探究系统未来演化趋势.研究发现:农业转型发展和旅游消费升级是驱动农业与旅游产业融合的核心动力,市场需求、农业生态保护和政策支持是影响系统模型的重要因素,因此,在农业与旅游产业融合过程中,应充分发挥两者的双轮驱动作用,以市场需求为导向,以生态环境保护为基础,加大产业政策扶持力度,促进农业与旅游业的深度融合发展.The integration of agriculture and tourism industry is an important path of rural industry integration,which is of great significance to rural revitalization.Based on the theory of system dynamics,the interactive relationship between various elements in the integration system of agriculture and tourism industry was analyzed.Vensim PLE software was used to build the system dynamics model,and different simulations were designed to explore the future development trend of the system by policy.Study found that:the transformation of agricultural development and tourism consumption upgrade is to drive the core power of agriculture and tourism industry integration,the market demand,agricultural ecological protection and policy support are the important factors influencing the system model,the coordinated development of policy simulation shows that the optimal pattern effect,therefore,in the process of integration of agriculture and tourism industry,should fully give play to the role of the two-wheel drive,guided by market demand,based on the ecological environment protection,increase the intensity of industry policy support,promote the development of agriculture and the depth of the tourism integration.

关 键 词：农业 旅游产业 乡村旅游 产业融合 系统动力学 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济] F592[自然科学总论—系统科学] N941.3