中美贸易摩擦对我国进出口贸易的影响研究——以佛山市为例  

A Study on the Influence Factors of the Escalation of Sino-US Trade Disputes on China's Import and Export Trade--Take Foshan as an Example

作　　者：黄慧霞 龚林峰 Huang Huixia;Gong Linfeng(School of Economics and Management,Foshan University,Foshan Guangdong 528000;The Center for Innovation and Economic Transformation and Upgrading,Research Institute of Social Science in Guangdong,Foshan Guangdong 528000)

机构地区：[1]佛山科学技术学院经济管理学院,广东佛山528000 [2]广东省社会科学研究基地创新与经济转型升级研究中心,广东佛山528000

出　　处：《对外经贸》2020年第10期9-12,共4页FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE

基　　金：广东省教育厅重点科研平台和科研项目(项目编号:2018WQNCX186);佛山市社科规划项目(项目编号:2020-GJ115)。

摘　　要：中美贸易摩擦的不断升级,对我国进出口贸易造成了较大的影响。结合中美贸易摩擦下佛山市进出口贸易的现状,分析了中美贸易摩擦对国家外商直接投资、企业生产经营预期、关税收入、对外贸易依存度、汇率、生产总值带来的影响,并在此基础上,建立了线性回归模型,运用SPSS软件对佛山市进出口贸易进行了实证分析。研究结果表明:关税收入和佛山进出口贸易总额存在显著正相关关系。根据研究结果从科技创新和产业结构优化两方面提出了相应的对策和建议。With the escalation of trade disputes between China and the United States,the import and export trade between China and the United States has been greatly affected.This paper first discusses the current situation of Foshan's import and export trade under the Sino-US trade dispute.It also analyzes the impact of Sino-US trade disputes on foreign direct investment,enterprises'production and operation expectations,tariff revenue,foreign trade dependence,exchange rate and gross domestic product.On this basis,a linear regression model is established,and SPSS software is used to make an empirical analysis of the import and export trade in Foshan.The results show that there is a significant positive correlation between tariff revenue and foshan's total import and export trade.Finally,according to the research results,this paper puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions from scientific and technological innovation and industrial structure.

关 键 词：中美贸易摩擦 关税收入 进出口贸易 

分 类 号：F752.8[经济管理—国际贸易]